Reds vs. Cubs: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Cubs MLB game on Friday, August 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Reds
Rhett Lowder 5-8, 5.13 ERA
10
8
Wrigley Field
Cubs
David Peterson 7-7, 5.17 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 0 0 1 1 5 2 0 1 10 13 0
Cubs
1 0 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 8 13 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    100%
  • Cubs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nico Hoerner flies out to deep left center field to TJ Friedl.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Myers CF5000010.0000.167
2 E. De La Cruz SS5132001.6001.200
3 S. Stewart 1B4222111.5001.850
4 T. Stephenson DH5123102.4001.400
5 E. Suárez 3B4000013.0000.200
6 J. Bleday RF5110001.2000.400
7 M. McLain 2B4100001.0000.200
8 J. Trevino C5121101.4001.400
9 T. Friedl LF11111001.0005.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF5020001.4000.800
2 S. Suzuki RF5232001.6001.600
3 M. Busch 1B4112110.2501.400
4 A. Bregman 3B5011001.2000.600
5 I. Happ LF5110003.2000.400
6 N. Hoerner SS5130000.6001.200
7 P. Ramirez 2B4113100.2501.250
8 M. Shaw DH11100001.0003.000
9 C. Kelly C3100010.0000.250

Reds vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. CHI Cubs Cubs
  • Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
  • Time: 2:20PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Reds (+1.5, -113), Cubs (-1.5, +112)
  • Moneyline: Reds +186, Cubs -186
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-115/+111)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Reds: 37.3%
  • Cubs: 62.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 37.3%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 62.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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