Astros vs. Yankees: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Yankees MLB game on Thursday, August 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Astros
Hayden Wesneski 3-1, 4.23 ERA
5
1
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Gerrit Cole 7-6, 3.11 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Astros
0 0 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 5 9 0
Yankees
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 5 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Astros
    100%
  • Yankees
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Amed Rosario flies out to deep center field to Daulton Varsho.
Quick Box Score
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Peña SS4211102.2501.400
2 Y. Alvarez DH4000003.0000.200
3 I. Paredes 3B4021011.5001.100
4 N. Allen 2B10100001.0002.000
5 D. Varsho CF4100012.0000.200
6 C. Walker 1B4232100.7502.500
7 Y. Diaz C4010000.2500.500
8 T. Trammell LF4010000.2500.500
9 C. Smith RF4000000.0000.000
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF4000001.0000.000
2 B. Rice DH4120000.5001.250
3 L. García 1B4000002.0000.000
4 C. Bellinger LF2001010.0000.250
5 G. Lombard SS4010002.2501.000
6 H. Ramos PH1000001.0000.000
7 A. Rosario PH1000000.0000.000
8 A. Wells C3000003.0000.000
9 J. Caballero 3B3010000.3330.666

Astros vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: Houston Astros vs. NY Yankees Yankees
  • Date: Thursday, August 27, 2026
  • Time: 7:05PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Astros (+1.5, -138), Yankees (-1.5, +135)
  • Moneyline: Astros +153, Yankees -149
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+117/-120)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Astros: 43.8%
  • Yankees: 56.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 43.8%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 56.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Astros vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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