Orioles vs. Cardinals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Cardinals MLB game on Wednesday, August 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Orioles
Kyle Bradish 7-12, 3.70 ERA
8
7
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Michael McGreevy 5-9, 3.54 ERA
Busch Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 13 0
Cardinals
0 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 7 11 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    100%
  • Cardinals
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
José Fermín pops out to shallow right field to Jackson Holliday.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Holliday 2B5000000.0000.000
2 P. Alonso DH4112101.2501.400
3 G. Henderson SS5110001.2000.400
4 L. Vázquez 3B0100000.0000.000
5 C. Encarnacion-Strand 1B5142001.8002.000
6 D. Beavers LF4121010.5001.350
7 L. Taveras RF5113100.2001.000
8 C. Cowser CF4020010.5001.100
9 C. Narváez C2100002.0000.333
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt SS4110010.2500.650
2 I. Herrera DH4130011.7501.550
3 A. Burleson 1B5112001.2000.400
4 J. Walker RF4111011.2500.900
5 N. Church CF4112011.2500.900
6 J. Fermín LF5001001.0000.000
7 R. Urías 2B1000000.0000.000
8 B. Jordan 3B1000000.0000.000
9 P. Pagés C0000010.0001.000

Orioles vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Wednesday, August 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:45PM ET
  • Venue: Busch Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Orioles (-1.5, +163), Cardinals (+1.5, -163)
  • Moneyline: Orioles -104, Cardinals +102
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+104/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Orioles: 50.1%
  • Cardinals: 49.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 50.1%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 49.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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