Phillies vs. Mariners: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Mariners MLB game on Wednesday, August 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 11-5, 3.23 ERA
6
0
T-Mobile Park
Mariners
Bryan Woo 9-8, 4.10 ERA
T-Mobile Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
2 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 10 0
Mariners
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Mariners
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Patrick Wisdom lines out to deep left field to Brandon Marsh.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH5223102.4001.600
2 T. Turner SS5000002.0000.000
3 D. Hill RF0000000.0000.000
4 L. Arraez 2B4000000.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 1B4010003.2500.500
6 B. Stott 3B4130000.7501.750
7 B. Marsh LF3100012.0000.250
8 J. Realmuto C4010001.2500.500
9 J. Crawford CF4111000.2500.500
Mariners Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Ward RF4000000.0000.000
2 R. Arozarena LF3010010.3330.833
3 J. Rodríguez CF4000002.0000.000
4 C. Raleigh DH4000004.0000.000
5 P. Wisdom 1B4000001.0000.000
6 J. Crawford SS2000011.0000.333
7 W. Wilson 3B3000002.0000.000
8 J. Pereda C2010011.5001.167
9 B. Rodden 2B3000001.0000.000

Phillies vs. Mariners: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
  • Date: Wednesday, August 26, 2026
  • Time: 4:10PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (-1.5, +144), Mariners (+1.5, -144)
  • Moneyline: Phillies -127, Mariners +127
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 runs (-125/+127)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 53.4%
  • Mariners: 46.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 53.4%, while the Mariners have a win probability of 46.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Mariners in the MLB game at T-Mobile Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Mariners predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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