Astros vs. Yankees: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Yankees MLB game on Wednesday, August 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Astros
Peter Lambert 8-7, 3.68 ERA
3
9
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Elmer Rodríguez 0-2, 4.77 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Astros
1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 3 4 1
Yankees
2 0 0 1 0 0 4 2 X 9 13 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Astros
    0%
  • Yankees
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nelson Velázquez strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Peña SS4000003.0000.000
2 Y. Alvarez DH4010002.2500.500
3 I. Paredes 3B3100010.0000.250
4 J. Altuve 2B3111010.3331.167
5 D. Varsho CF4121100.5002.000
6 C. Walker 1B4001000.0000.000
7 N. Velázquez PH1000001.0000.000
8 L. Wade RF0000010.0001.000
9 C. Vázquez C3000002.0000.000
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF5110001.2000.400
2 B. Rice DH2311130.5002.800
3 L. García 1B5332100.6001.800
4 C. Bellinger LF5112000.2000.600
5 G. Lombard SS5001003.0000.000
6 S. Jones RF4011003.2500.500
7 J. Chisholm 2B31310101.0002.333
8 A. Wells C3020011.6671.417
9 J. Caballero 3B4010001.2500.500

Astros vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Houston Astros vs. NY Yankees Yankees
  • Date: Wednesday, August 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:05PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Astros (+1.5, -186), Yankees (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Astros +113, Yankees -117
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-115/+110)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Astros: 48.1%
  • Yankees: 51.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 48.1%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 51.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Astros vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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