Cubs vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Wednesday, August 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cubs
Matthew Boyd 8-2, 4.15 ERA
0
2
Chase Field
D-Backs
Eduardo Rodriguez 13-4, 2.61 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 X 2 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    0%
  • D-Backs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ian Happ grounds out to second base, Tim Tawa to Juan Morillo.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4010003.2500.750
2 S. Suzuki RF2000020.0000.500
3 A. Bregman DH3000010.0000.250
4 M. Busch 1B3000012.0000.250
5 N. Hoerner SS4000001.0000.000
6 I. Happ PH1000000.0000.000
7 P. Ramirez 3B3000001.0000.000
8 C. Kelly C3000001.0000.000
9 G. Arias 2B3000002.0000.000
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 I. Vargas 2B4000001.0000.000
2 C. Carroll RF3000002.0000.000
3 G. Perdomo SS3020000.6671.334
4 N. Arenado DH3010000.3330.666
5 T. Tawa 1B2000011.0000.333
6 J. Fernandez 3B3000001.0000.000
7 J. McCann C3110000.3330.666
8 J. Lawlar CF3121101.6672.334
9 R. Waldschmidt LF1001010.0000.333

Cubs vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: CHI Cubs Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Wednesday, August 26, 2026
  • Time: 3:40PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cubs (-1.5, +147), Diamondbacks (+1.5, -150)
  • Moneyline: Cubs -108, Diamondbacks +110
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+108/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cubs: 51.2%
  • Diamondbacks: 48.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 51.2%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 48.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Diamondbacks in the MLB game at Chase Field on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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