Yankees vs. Orioles: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Orioles MLB game on Thursday, August 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Yankees
Gerrit Cole 6-6, 3.22 ERA
6
1
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Kyle Bradish 7-11, 3.65 ERA
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 3 0 0 2 0 1 0 6 11 0
Orioles
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Orioles
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Christian Encarnacion-Strand strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF4010011.2500.650
2 B. Rice DH4111010.2500.650
3 H. Ramos LF4011001.2500.750
4 L. García 1B4231101.7502.250
5 J. Chisholm 2B4011001.2501.000
6 G. Lombard SS4000002.0000.000
7 S. Jones RF4231100.7502.250
8 A. Wells C4110002.2500.500
9 J. Caballero 3B4001001.0000.000
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Holliday 2B4000002.0000.000
2 P. Alonso 1B4020001.5001.000
3 G. Henderson SS3010012.3330.833
4 S. Basallo DH4000002.0000.000
5 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B4000002.0000.000
6 D. Beavers LF3111101.3331.666
7 L. Taveras RF3000000.0000.000
8 C. Cowser CF3000002.0000.000
9 C. Narváez C3000000.0000.000

Yankees vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: NY Yankees Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
  • Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
  • Time: 6:35PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Yankees (-1.5, +160), Orioles (+1.5, -163)
  • Moneyline: Yankees -107, Orioles +104
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+113/-115)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Yankees: 51.1%
  • Orioles: 48.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 51.1%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 48.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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