Yankees vs. Orioles: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Orioles MLB game on Tuesday, August 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Yankees
Carlos Rodón 4-2, 3.30 ERA
3
1
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Shane Baz 4-12, 4.01 ERA
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 3 5 1
Orioles
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Orioles
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Yohel Pozo grounds out to second base, Jazz Chisholm to Luis García.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF4123101.5001.750
2 B. Rice DH3000001.0000.250
3 H. Ramos LF3000012.0000.250
4 L. García 1B4000002.0000.000
5 S. Jones RF4110002.2500.500
6 J. Chisholm 2B4000002.0000.000
7 G. Lombard SS4120001.5001.000
8 J. Caballero 3B1000001.0000.000
9 A. Sánchez C1000000.0000.000
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Holliday 2B4000001.0000.000
2 P. Alonso DH4010001.2500.500
3 D. Beavers RF1000001.0000.000
4 C. Mayo 1B3111110.3331.833
5 G. Henderson SS4000000.0000.000
6 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B3000011.0000.250
7 L. Taveras CF4020001.5001.000
8 C. Cowser PH1000001.0000.000
9 Y. Pozo C1000000.0000.000

Yankees vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: NY Yankees Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
  • Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
  • Time: 6:35PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Yankees (-1.5, +156), Orioles (+1.5, -160)
  • Moneyline: Yankees -104, Orioles +102
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-104/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Yankees: 52.2%
  • Orioles: 47.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 52.2%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 47.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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