Padres vs. Guardians: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Guardians MLB game on Saturday, August 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Padres
Wandy Peralta 2-2, 3.39 ERA
1
6
Progressive Field
Guardians
Joey Cantillo 8-7, 3.91 ERA
Progressive Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2
Guardians
1 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 X 6 11 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Padres
    0%
  • Guardians
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Manny Machado strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF2100021.0000.500
2 J. Cronenworth 2B4010001.2500.500
3 M. Machado 3B4000001.0000.000
4 T. France 1B2000001.0000.333
5 J. Merrill CF3000002.0000.000
6 L. Campusano DH2000011.0000.333
7 J. Bowen LF0000000.0000.000
8 X. Bogaerts SS3000000.0000.000
9 F. Fermin C3000002.0000.000
Guardians Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Kwan LF4221000.5001.250
2 C. DeLauter DH4120000.5001.000
3 J. Ramírez 3B3111001.3330.917
4 A. Martínez RF0000000.0000.000
5 N. Lowe 1B4010001.2500.500
6 A. Genao SS3100011.0000.250
7 T. Bazzana 2B3010012.3330.833
8 P. Bailey C4011001.2500.750
9 P. Halpin CF4110001.2500.500

Padres vs. Guardians: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians
  • Date: Saturday, August 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:10PM ET
  • Venue: Progressive Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Padres (+1.5, -210), Guardians (-1.5, +175)
  • Moneyline: Padres +107, Guardians -104
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+100/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Padres: 50.7%
  • Guardians: 49.3%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 50.7%, while the Guardians have a win probability of 49.3%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Guardians in the MLB game at Progressive Field on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Guardians predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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