Mariners vs. Yankees: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mariners vs. Yankees MLB game on Thursday, August 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mariners
Logan Gilbert 8-7, 3.42 ERA
1
0
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Max Fried 4-3, 2.88 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mariners
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1
Yankees
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mariners
    100%
  • Yankees
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jazz Chisholm strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Mariners Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Arozarena LF3010012.3330.833
2 J. Rodríguez CF4010002.2500.500
3 V. Robles RF0000000.0000.000
4 C. Raleigh DH4000002.0000.000
5 J. Naylor 1B4010001.2500.500
6 B. Donovan 3B4000000.0000.000
7 C. Emerson SS0000000.0000.000
8 J. Pereda C3010001.3330.666
9 C. Young 2B1000000.0000.000
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF4010001.2500.500
2 B. Rice DH3000011.0000.250
3 H. Ramos LF1000000.0000.000
4 L. García 1B4020001.5001.250
5 G. Lombard SS4000001.0000.000
6 J. Chisholm 2B4000003.0000.000
7 J. Caballero RF2000010.0000.333
8 R. McMahon 3B2000010.0000.333
9 A. Wells C0000000.0000.000

Mariners vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: Seattle Mariners vs. NY Yankees Yankees
  • Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
  • Time: 1:35PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mariners (+1.5, -150), Yankees (-1.5, +150)
  • Moneyline: Mariners +145, Yankees -138
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+100/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mariners: 40.1%
  • Yankees: 59.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mariners a win probability of 40.1%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 59.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Mariners in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mariners vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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