Mariners vs. Yankees Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mariners vs. Yankees MLB game on August 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB sport icon
MLB
Mariners
Logan Gilbert 8-7, 3.42 ERA
1
0 Out
0
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Max Fried 4-3, 2.88 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mariners
0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 0
Yankees
0 0 0 0 0 X 0 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mariners
    66%
  • Yankees
    34%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
D. Canzone
R. Yarbrough
Last At Bat
Outs
Alí Sánchez grounds out to shortstop, Leo Rivas to Josh Naylor.
() Ryan Yarbrough
W-LIPHRERBBKERA
Season 2-1 44.0 38 25 18 17 197 3.682
Today
Quick Box Score
Mariners Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Arozarena LF2010011.5001.167
2 J. Rodríguez CF3010002.3330.666
3 D. Canzone RF1000011.0000.500
4 C. Raleigh DH2000000.0000.000
5 J. Naylor 1B2010000.5001.000
6 B. Donovan 2B2000000.0000.000
7 W. Wilson 3B2111100.5002.500
8 J. Pereda C2010000.5001.000
9 L. Rivas SS2000000.0000.000
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF2010000.5001.000
2 B. Rice DH2000001.0000.000
3 S. Jones LF2000001.0000.000
4 L. García 1B20200001.0002.500
5 G. Lombard SS2000000.0000.000
6 J. Chisholm 2B2000002.0000.000
7 J. Caballero RF2000000.0000.000
8 R. McMahon 3B2000000.0000.000
9 A. Sánchez C2010000.5001.000

Mariners vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mariners vs. Yankees
  • Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mariners +145, Yankees -138

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mariners: 40%
  • Yankees: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mariners a win probability of 40%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Mariners in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mariners vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.