Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Marlins MLB game on August 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB sport icon
MLB
Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft 11-5, 4.08 ERA
5
1 Out
0
loanDepot park
Marlins
Tyler Phillips 3-5, 3.47 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 5 8 1
Marlins
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 X 0 2 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    99%
  • Marlins
    1%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
J. Triolo
J. Mangum
R. Flores
LHP J. King
Last At Bat
Outs
Jared Triolo walks.
(LHP) John King
15 Pitches
W-LIPHRERBBKERA
Season 6-2 47.0 28 18 16 12 180 3.064
Today 0.1 1 0 0 1 0
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Horwitz 1B4010001.2500.500
2 B. Lowe DH4000003.0000.000
3 B. Reynolds LF3000011.0000.250
4 N. Gonzales 2B3120010.6671.417
5 E. Valdez RF4110001.2500.500
6 J. Gonzalez SS3100010.0000.250
7 J. Mangum CF3121000.6672.417
8 J. Triolo 3B3123111.6672.417
9 R. Flores C3000002.0000.000
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Marsee CF3010001.3330.666
2 X. Edwards 2B2000010.0000.333
3 O. Lopez SS3000001.0000.000
4 G. Conine DH2010001.5001.000
5 A. Ramírez C2000000.0000.000
6 L. Jiménez 1B2000002.0000.000
7 O. Caissie RF2000002.0000.000
8 J. Sanoja 3B2000000.0000.000
9 E. Ruiz LF2000000.0000.000

Pirates vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. Marlins
  • Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pirates favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates -115, Marlins +115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 47%
  • Marlins: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 47%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.