D-Backs vs. Cardinals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Cardinals MLB game on July 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
D-Backs
Brandon Pfaadt 4-1, 4.58 ERA
10
6
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Michael McGreevy 4-7, 2.92 ERA
Busch Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 0 3 1 0 0 5 1 10 16 0
Cardinals
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 13 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    100%
  • Cardinals
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Masyn Winn grounds out to shallow infield, Ildemaro Vargas to Tyler Locklear.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Carroll RF5111002.2000.767
2 G. Perdomo SS2000030.0000.600
3 G. Moreno C4132000.7501.600
4 M. Kepler LF4100010.0000.200
5 A. Del Castillo DH5331001.6001.400
6 T. Tawa CF3111011.3330.733
7 I. Vargas 2B5130000.6001.200
8 T. Locklear 1B5233101.6002.000
9 N. Arenado 3B20220001.0002.000
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B5220000.4000.800
2 B. Torres PH11120001.0002.000
3 A. Burleson DH5130000.6001.600
4 L. Nootbaar LF5023000.4000.800
5 M. Winn SS4000010.0000.200
6 J. Fermín 3B3010010.3330.833
7 N. Church CF4110001.2500.500
8 B. Jordan 1B4000000.0000.000
9 P. Pagés C1000000.0000.000

D-Backs vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Cardinals
  • Date: Thursday, July 23, 2026
  • Time: 5:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Busch Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cardinals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs 47¢, Cardinals 53¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 48%
  • Cardinals: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 48%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cardinals are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.