Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Phillies MLB game on July 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mets
Nolan McLean 6-6, 3.52 ERA
6
1
Jul 19, 1:35 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Alan Rangel 0-2, 4.19 ERA
Jul 19, 1:35 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
2 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 14 0
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
J.T. Realmuto grounds out to third base, Bo Bichette to Brett Baty.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing CF6020002.3330.666
2 J. Soto DH5121010.4000.900
3 B. Bichette 3B5120011.4000.900
4 F. Lindor SS31331201.0003.333
5 C. Benge RF3011011.3330.733
6 T. Taylor LF2010010.5001.667
7 M. Semien 2B5000004.0000.000
8 B. Baty 1B5110000.2000.400
9 L. Torrens C4221010.5001.350
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS3010012.3331.167
2 K. Schwarber DH3000012.0000.250
3 B. Harper 1B4000003.0000.000
4 B. Marsh RF4010000.2500.500
5 A. Bohm 3B4121102.5001.750
6 B. Stott 2B3010011.3330.833
7 J. Realmuto C4010001.2500.500
8 E. Sosa LF1000000.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF3000002.0000.000

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Mets vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mets vs. Phillies
  • Date: Sunday, July 19, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mets -117, Phillies +212

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mets: 54%
  • Phillies: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 54%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.