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Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Phillies MLB game on July 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Mets
Sean Manaea 2-4, 4.56 ERA
1
6
Jul 18, 3:05 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 8-4, 3.51 ERA
Jul 18, 3:05 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Phillies | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | X | 6 | 12 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Mets
- Phillies
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Marcus Semien grounds out to shallow infield, J.T. Realmuto to Bryce Harper.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Lindor | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | J. Soto | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | B. Bichette | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 4 | F. Alvarez | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 5 | C. Benge | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | M. Semien | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | T. Taylor | LF | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 2.334 |
| 8 | A. Ewing | CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 9 | E. Wagaman | 1B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Turner | SS | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .750 | 2.300 |
| 2 | K. Schwarber | DH | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .333 | 1.933 |
| 3 | B. Harper | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 4 | A. Bohm | 3B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 0.800 |
| 5 | J. Crawford | CF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | B. Marsh | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 7 | J. Realmuto | C | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .667 | 1.417 |
| 8 | D. Hill | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | B. Stott | 2B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 1.000 |
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Mets vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mets vs. Phillies
- Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
- Time: 3:05 PM ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mets +4579, Phillies -160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mets: 43%
- Phillies: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 43%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mets vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.