Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Phillies MLB game on July 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mets
Sean Manaea 2-4, 4.56 ERA
1
6
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 8-4, 3.51 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 3
Phillies
2 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 X 6 12 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Marcus Semien grounds out to shallow infield, J.T. Realmuto to Bryce Harper.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS4000003.0000.000
2 J. Soto DH4000002.0000.000
3 B. Bichette 3B3000010.0000.250
4 F. Alvarez C3000011.0000.250
5 C. Benge RF4000002.0000.000
6 M. Semien 2B4000001.0000.000
7 T. Taylor LF3121100.6672.334
8 A. Ewing CF3010001.3330.666
9 E. Wagaman 1B3000001.0000.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4331110.7502.300
2 K. Schwarber DH3212120.3331.933
3 B. Harper 1B4012001.2500.650
4 A. Bohm 3B5021000.4000.800
5 J. Crawford CF1000000.0000.000
6 B. Marsh LF4000013.0000.200
7 J. Realmuto C3020010.6671.417
8 D. Hill RF4000004.0000.000
9 B. Stott 2B4110001.2501.000

Mets vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mets vs. Phillies
  • Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
  • Time: 3:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mets +4579, Phillies -160

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mets: 43%
  • Phillies: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 43%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.