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Padres vs. Royals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Royals MLB game on July 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Padres
Michael King 6-7, 3.41 ERA
6
7
Jul 17, 8:10 PM ET Kauffman Stadium
Royals
Seth Lugo 3-6, 4.56 ERA
Jul 17, 8:10 PM ET Kauffman Stadium
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
Royals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Padres
- Royals
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Carter Jensen singles to left field. Nick Loftin scores. Michael Massey scores.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Tatis | RF | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .600 | 1.200 |
| 2 | J. Merrill | CF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.450 |
| 4 | M. Machado | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 5 | J. Bowen | LF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | T. France | 1B | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.833 |
| 7 | J. Cronenworth | 2B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | M. Andujar | DH | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 2.250 |
| 9 | F. Fermin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Jensen | C | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .600 | 1.667 |
| 2 | B. Witt | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 3 | J. Rojas | 3B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | L. Thomas | CF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.850 |
| 5 | V. Pasquantino | 1B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 6 | S. Perez | DH | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.933 |
| 7 | M. Massey | 2B | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.200 |
| 8 | N. Loftin | RF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 9 | I. Collins | LF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
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Padres vs. Royals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Padres vs. Royals
- Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Time: 8:10 PM ET
- Venue: Kauffman Stadium
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 10.5
- Moneyline Odds: Padres -117, Royals +113
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Padres: 52%
- Royals: 48%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 52%, while the Royals have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Royals in the MLB game at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Padres vs. Royals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.