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Cardinals vs. D-Backs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. D-Backs MLB game on July 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Cardinals
Michael McGreevy 4-7, 3.01 ERA
5
4
Jul 17, 9:40 PM ET Chase Field
D-Backs
Merrill Kelly 7-8, 5.38 ERA
Jul 17, 9:40 PM ET Chase Field
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cardinals | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
D-Backs | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Cardinals
- D-Backs
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Ketel Marte called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wetherholt | 2B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.850 |
| 2 | I. Herrera | DH | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | A. Burleson | 1B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 4 | J. Walker | RF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 5 | L. Nootbaar | LF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | M. Winn | SS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 7 | N. Church | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | J. Fermín | 3B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 9 | P. Pagés | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Marte | 2B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 2 | G. Perdomo | SS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 3 | C. Carroll | RF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 4 | G. Moreno | C | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 5 | M. Kepler | LF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | L. Gurriel | DH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | J. Barrosa | PR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | I. Vargas | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 1.000 |
| 9 | T. Tawa | CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 2.000 |
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Cardinals vs. D-Backs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Cardinals vs. D-Backs
- Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Field
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: D-Backs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9.5
- Moneyline Odds: Cardinals +108, D-Backs -106
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Cardinals: 46%
- D-Backs: 54%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 46%, while the D-Backs have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the D-Backs are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Chase Field on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Cardinals vs. D-Backs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.