Cardinals vs. D-Backs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. D-Backs MLB game on July 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
Cardinals
Michael McGreevy 4-7, 3.01 ERA
5
4
Chase Field
D-Backs
Merrill Kelly 7-8, 5.38 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cardinals
2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 5 9 0
D-Backs
0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 4 8 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    100%
  • D-Backs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ketel Marte called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4121110.5001.850
2 I. Herrera DH4101001.0000.000
3 A. Burleson 1B4210011.2500.650
4 J. Walker RF4010011.2500.650
5 L. Nootbaar LF4010002.2500.500
6 M. Winn SS2013010.5001.000
7 N. Church CF4000000.0000.000
8 J. Fermín 3B4120000.5001.000
9 P. Pagés C0000000.0000.000
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Marte 2B5010002.2000.400
2 G. Perdomo SS2100021.0000.500
3 C. Carroll RF4112100.2501.250
4 G. Moreno C4120001.5001.250
5 M. Kepler LF4010001.2500.500
6 L. Gurriel DH3001001.0000.000
7 J. Barrosa PR0000000.0000.000
8 I. Vargas 1B4010000.2501.000
9 T. Tawa CF4121100.5002.000

Cardinals vs. D-Backs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cardinals vs. D-Backs
  • Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: D-Backs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cardinals 48¢, D-Backs 51¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cardinals: 46%
  • D-Backs: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 46%, while the D-Backs have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the D-Backs are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Chase Field on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. D-Backs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.