Phillies vs. Tigers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Tigers MLB game on July 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Aaron Nola 3-6, 5.87 ERA
2
10
Jul 10, 6:40 PM ET Comerica Park
Tigers
Jack Flaherty 2-8, 4.60 ERA
Jul 10, 6:40 PM ET Comerica Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 1
Tigers
0 0 2 0 0 5 3 0 X 10 8 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    0%
  • Tigers
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Rafael Marchán pops out to shallow infield to Beau Brieske.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4000000.0000.000
2 K. Schwarber DH3000010.0000.250
3 B. Harper 1B3100010.0000.250
4 B. Marsh LF4010003.2500.500
5 A. Bohm 3B3000000.0000.250
6 B. Stott 2B3000011.0000.250
7 G. Rincones RF4000002.0000.000
8 D. Hill CF4132101.7502.250
9 R. Marchán C4000000.0000.000
Tigers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. McGonigle SS5112101.2001.000
2 C. Keith 3B5111101.2001.000
3 B. Malgeri LF0000000.0000.000
4 S. Torkelson 1B4112101.2501.250
5 M. Vierling RF1100010.0000.500
6 E. Valencia DH4121002.5001.000
7 Z. McKinstry 2B3101001.0000.000
8 J. Outman CF4112001.2501.000
9 J. Rogers C3110010.3330.833

Phillies vs. Tigers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Tigers
  • Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Comerica Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Tigers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies +111, Tigers -113

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 48%
  • Tigers: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 48%, while the Tigers have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Tigers are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Comerica Park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Tigers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.