Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Rays MLB game on July 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Will Warren 7-3, 3.73 ERA
4
6
Tropicana Field
Rays
Ian Seymour 5-1, 4.02 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 11 0
Rays
0 2 0 4 0 0 0 0 X 6 8 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Trent Grisham strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF5110002.2000.600
2 P. Goldschmidt 1B4000004.0000.000
3 B. Rice DH4133100.7502.250
4 A. Volpe SS1000000.0000.000
5 C. Bellinger LF4010002.2500.500
6 J. Caballero 3B4000004.0000.000
7 J. Chisholm 2B4110002.2500.500
8 J. Domínguez RF2010000.5001.000
9 A. Sánchez C3021000.6671.167
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH4122100.5001.750
2 J. Aranda 1B3000010.0000.250
3 J. Caminero 3B4000002.0000.000
4 C. Mullins CF3000012.0000.250
5 C. Simpson LF4000000.0000.000
6 V. Mesa RF4121100.5001.750
7 T. Walls SS4110001.2500.500
8 B. Williamson 2B2000001.0000.000
9 H. Feduccia C2112110.5002.667

Yankees vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Rays
  • Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rays favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees 42¢, Rays -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 48%
  • Rays: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 48%, while the Rays have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.