Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Rays MLB game on July 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Yankees
Cam Schlittler 8-5, 2.08 ERA
5
1
Tropicana Field
Rays
Griffin Jax 4-5, 3.45 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 5 3 0
Rays
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Rays
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Cedric Mullins flies out to center field to Trent Grisham.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF4000001.0000.000
2 B. Rice DH4111102.2501.250
3 P. Goldschmidt 1B4000003.0000.000
4 C. Bellinger LF4000003.0000.000
5 J. Domínguez RF3100012.0000.250
6 J. Chisholm 2B2100012.0000.333
7 J. Caballero SS3224200.6673.334
8 R. McMahon 3B3000003.0000.000
9 A. Wells C3000001.0000.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH4000001.0000.000
2 J. Aranda 1B4000003.0000.000
3 J. Caminero 3B4000001.0000.000
4 C. Mullins CF4000002.0000.000
5 J. DeLuca RF3010000.3330.666
6 C. Simpson LF3110000.3330.666
7 N. Fortes C3000000.0000.000
8 R. Palacios 2B3021000.6671.334
9 T. Walls SS3000002.0000.000

Yankees vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Rays
  • Date: Monday, July 6, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees 53¢, Rays 47¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 54%
  • Rays: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 54%, while the Rays have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.