Reds vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Cubs MLB game on August 6, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Reds
Andrew Abbott 8-1, 2.15 ERA
1
6
Aug 6, 2:20 PM ET Wrigley Field
Cubs
Cade Horton 5-3, 3.42 ERA
Aug 6, 2:20 PM ET Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0
Cubs
0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 X 6 11 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Gavin Lux called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Friedl CF41200010.51.000
2 S. Steer 1B400000200.000
3 E. De La Cruz SS40100020.250.500
4 A. Hays DH40110010.250.750
5 G. Lux 2B400000300.000
6 T. Stephenson C300000200.000
7 N. Marte RF300000100.000
8 J. Fraley LF300000000.000
9 K. Hayes 3B300000000.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Hoerner 2B41210100.51.100
2 M. Busch 1B100000000.000
3 S. Suzuki DH212211013.250
4 C. Kelly C40210000.51.000
5 P. Crow-Armstrong CF400000200.000
6 W. Castro RF400000100.000
7 I. Happ LF31111100.3331.833
8 D. Swanson SS41111000.251.250
9 M. Shaw 3B41100010.250.500

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Reds vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Reds vs. Cubs
  • Date: Wednesday, August 6, 2025
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Reds +110, Cubs -130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Reds: 43%
  • Cubs: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 43%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.