Home run predictions for Playoffs Wednesday include Shohei Ohtani, Will Smith [10/14/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB Playoffs slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for October 14, 2026, are based on Wednesday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, October 14, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Wednesday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for October 14, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list plus find our best value play for Wednesday’s slate. &&&&&& PaidContent:

  • Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 23.2% probability
  • Kyle Tucker (Dodgers): 17.7%
  • Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers): 16.8%
  • Andy Pages (Dodgers): 15.2%
  • Will Smith (Dodgers): 14.0%
  • Freddie Freeman (Dodgers): 13.3%
  • Mookie Betts (Dodgers): 13.2%
  • Jake Bauers (Brewers): 11.2%
  • Tommy Edman (Dodgers): 10.9%
  • Jackson Chourio (Brewers): 10.4%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.2% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Tucker (17.7%) and Teoscar Hernández (16.8%).

Andy Pages and Will Smith are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Shohei Ohtani 2026.
Shohei Ohtani features in today's home run predictions on Wednesday, October 14, 2026.

Wednesday's playoffs home run picks [10/14/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) to hit a home run

Ranked top of today’s home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Shohei Ohtani rates as a value play at +425 with Caesars, showing a 4.1% edge.

With Robert Gasser on the mound for the Brewers, the data supports Ohtani as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

 

Pro users have access to a total of 10 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

 

Conclusion

For October 14, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker and Teoscar Hernández projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Ohtani in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.1% edge at +425 odds.

For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources. Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, October 14, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Wednesday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB playoffs matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for October 14, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list plus find our best value play for Wednesday’s slate.

  • Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 23.2% probability
  • Kyle Tucker (Dodgers): 17.7%
  • Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers): 16.8%
  • Andy Pages (Dodgers): 15.2%
  • Will Smith (Dodgers): 14.0%
  • Freddie Freeman (Dodgers): 13.3%
  • Mookie Betts (Dodgers): 13.2%
  • Jake Bauers (Brewers): 11.2%
  • Tommy Edman (Dodgers): 10.9%
  • Jackson Chourio (Brewers): 10.4%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.2% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Tucker (17.7%) and Teoscar Hernández (16.8%).

Andy Pages and Will Smith are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Wednesday's playoffs home run picks [10/14/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 23.2%
  • Odds: +425 at Caesars
  • Edge: 4.1%
  • Game: Brewers vs. Dodgers (8:00 PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Robert Gasser

Ranked top of today’s home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Shohei Ohtani rates as a value play at +425 with Caesars, showing a 4.1% edge.

Set to face Robert Gasser in tonight's Brewers-Dodgers matchup, the data supports Ohtani as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Conclusion

For October 14, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker and Teoscar Hernández projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Ohtani in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.1% edge at +425 odds.

For additional tools and information on betting safely, visit the Responsible Gambling hub at Dimers.com/responsible-gambling.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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