Premier League betting tips: Saturday's picks include Hull vs. Chelsea play [9/12/2026]

Hull vs. Chelsea Under 2.5 goals (+223)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 37.3%
• Matchup: Hull vs. Chelsea (10:00AM ET)

Our model has identified value on Under 2.5 goals in Hull vs. Chelsea at +223 odds. A 37.3% probability produces an edge of 6.3%, making this the strongest play for today's Premier League slate.

Bournemouth ML (+163)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 43.8%
• Matchup: Brentford vs. Bournemouth (10:00AM ET)

Bournemouth ML carries a 5.8% edge and a probability of 43.8% at +163 odds, according to our model.

Tottenham ML (+113)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 52.7%
• Matchup: Everton vs. Tottenham (12:30PM ET)

Tottenham ML at +113 odds shows a 5.8% edge, supported by a 52.7% probability in simulations.

Aston Villa ML (+133)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 47.9%
• Matchup: Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa (10:00AM ET)

A 5.0% edge and 47.9% probability makes Aston Villa at the moneyline a value play in the Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa matchup, per our model.

Crystal Palace ML (-104)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Matchup: Ipswich Town vs. Crystal Palace (10:00AM ET)

Crystal Palace ML at -104 odds presents a 4.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.7%.

Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa Over 2.5 goals (+104)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 51.6%
• Matchup: Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa (10:00AM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 2.5 goals in Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa at +104 odds, supported by an edge of 2.6%.

Liverpool ML (-199)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 69.1%
• Matchup: Fulham vs. Liverpool (10:00AM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Fulham-Liverpool to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at -199 odds. A 69.1% probability produces a 2.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's Premier League action.

Hull ML (+1329)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 9.5%
• Matchup: Hull vs. Chelsea (10:00AM ET)

A 2.5% edge on a 9.5% probability makes Hull to win at +1329 odds a solid value play in today's Hull vs. Chelsea matchup.

Ipswich Town vs. Crystal PalaceUnder 2.5 goals (+117)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 48.6%
• Matchup: Ipswich Town vs. Crystal Palace (10:00AM ET)

Our model projects value on Under 2.5 goals at +117 odds. A 48.6% probability produces a 2.5% edge, making the Under the favorable side in today's matchup.

Premier League best bets summary: Saturday, 9/12/2026

As of 12:20AM ET, here are our top Premier League bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming Premier League games to bet on [9/12/2026]

• Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Brentford vs. Bournemouth (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Hull vs. Chelsea (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Ipswich Town vs. Crystal Palace (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Fulham vs. Liverpool (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Everton vs. Tottenham (12:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Arsenal vs. Sunderland (3:00PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

Our Premier League best bets are locked and loaded for September 12, 2026, featuring plays such as under 2.5 goals in the Hull vs. Chelsea matchup and Bournemouth ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.