Manchester United vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester United vs. Manchester City Premier League match on September 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
EPL sport icon
PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester City
1
0
Old Trafford
Manchester United
Old Trafford
Manchester UnitedMNU
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
P. Foden (23')
Red Card icon
E. Haaland (60')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Manchester United
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Manchester City
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Zirkzee replaces M. Rashford
  2. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: N. O'Reilly replaces E. Fernandez
  3. 81'
    Yellow Card
    H. Maguire (Manchester Utd) cautioned
  4. 80'
    Yellow Card
    E. Fernandez (Manchester City) cautioned
  5. 79'
    Yellow Card
    J. Gvardiol (Manchester City) cautioned
  6. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: B. Sesko replaces Y. Tielemans
  7. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland
    1-0
  8. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: I. Ndiaye replaces R. Cherki
  9. 45'
    Yellow Card
    E. Maresca (Manchester City) cautioned
  10. 23'
    Red Card
    P. Foden (Manchester City) sent off with a straight red card

Manchester United vs. Manchester City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Manchester United vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Old Trafford

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester United 30¢, Manchester City +125, draw 25¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (64¢/34¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Manchester United: 27.8%
  • Manchester City: 49.8%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Manchester United 1-1 Manchester City (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Manchester United vs. Manchester City? Prediction & correct score

Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.8%.

The most likely correct score is Manchester United 1-1 Manchester City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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