Sunderland vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sunderland vs. Arsenal Premier League match on September 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
EPL sport icon
PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
2
0
Stadium of Light
Sunderland
Stadium of Light
SunderlandSUN
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
R. Mandava (90')
Red Card icon
Bruno Guimaraes (58')
Soccer ball icon
B. Saka (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sunderland
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Arsenal
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Gabriel (Arsenal) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    N. Mukiele (Sunderland) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    K. Havertz (Arsenal) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Red Card
    R. Mandava (Sunderland) sent off for a second yellow card
  5. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by B. Saka (pen.)
    2-0
  6. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: M. Merino replaces M. Odegaard
  7. 81'
    Yellow Card
    B. Brobbey (Sunderland) cautioned
  8. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: E. Eze replaces C. Tzolis
  9. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: M. Zubimendi replaces D. Rice
  10. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: M. Fofana replaces T. Meunier
  11. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: W. Isidor replaces N. Angulo
  12. 69'
    Yellow Card
    G. Xhaka (Sunderland) cautioned
  13. 66'
    Yellow Card
    D. Ballard (Sunderland) cautioned
  14. 58'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by Bruno Guimaraes, assisted by D. Rice
    1-0
  15. 56'
    Penalty missed by E. Le Fee for Sunderland
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: Bruno Guimaraes replaces M. Lewis-Skelly
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: J. Timber replaces B. White
  18. 39'
    Yellow Card
    M. Arteta (Arsenal) cautioned
  19. 28'
    Yellow Card
    R. Mandava (Sunderland) cautioned

Sunderland vs. Arsenal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sunderland vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Stadium of Light

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sunderland 14¢, Arsenal 61¢, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (44¢/56¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sunderland: 14.7%
  • Arsenal: 63.0%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sunderland 0-1 Arsenal (14.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Sunderland vs. Arsenal? Prediction & correct score

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.0%.

The most likely correct score is Sunderland 0-1 Arsenal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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