Sunday Night Football brings an NFC showdown to SoFi Stadium as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Los Angeles Rams in Week 12.
Ahead of tonight’s matchup, Bet365 is offering a featured first touchdown scorer prop on Kyren Williams at +425, highlighting one of the league’s most productive red-zone running backs. With Williams handling the bulk of Los Angeles’ scoring opportunities inside the 10, the bet aligns with both team tendencies and Dimers’ projections.
Odds correct at time of publication and subject to change.
The odds listed reflect the best available from major sportsbooks at time of publication.
According to 10,000 data-driven simulations from Dimers:
The model signals a strong likelihood of Los Angeles controlling the game script, which pairs well with early scoring opportunities for Kyren Williams.
Dimers’ top value play for Week 12 is:
While Los Angeles is more likely to win outright, the model identifies a 2.8% edge favoring Tampa Bay’s moneyline price when comparing fair odds to available sportsbook odds.
As for props, the Kyren Williams first TD (+425) aligns well with the projected scoring distribution and the Rams’ red-zone tendencies.
Projected Final Score: Rams 28, Buccaneers 21
The model expects Los Angeles to win by one score, with Williams projecting as the team’s most likely touchdown scorer.
First TD Probabilities:
Anytime TD Probabilities:
Projected Leaders:
First TD Probabilities:
Anytime TD Probabilities:
Projected Leaders:
Get ready for Sunday Night Football as the Buccaneers visit the Rams at SoFi Stadium. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. EST. All projections and best bets in this preview reflect 10,000 data-driven simulations from Dimers.
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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Mac Douglass as part of our fact-checking process.

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