Rams vs. Seahawks Bet365 Prop: Back NFL Receiving Leader Jaxon Smith-Njigba to Score First

Thursday Night Football features a massive NFC West clash as the Seattle Seahawks host the Los Angeles Rams at Lumen Field. Both teams enter the game with identical 11-3 records, making this a pivotal matchup for division title hopes and home-field advantage.

Bet365 is featuring a high-value prop for Seahawks star wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba to score the game's first touchdown at +600 odds. Smith-Njigba has been the centerpiece of the Seattle passing attack, leading the league in receiving yards (1,541) and dominating targets in the red zone.

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Bet365 Prop: Jaxon Smith-Njigba First Touchdown Scorer (+600)

This prop targets the star receiver to be the first player to find the end zone in this primetime matchup.

• The Player Prop: Jaxon Smith-Njigba First Touchdown Scorer
• Team: Seattle Seahawks
• Odds: +600

Implied Probability: These odds suggest a 14.29% chance of occurring.

Market Note: This prop requires the player to carry or receive the ball into the end zone for the game's first touchdown.

Game Details: Rams vs. Seahawks (Thursday Night Football)

The key information you need before the Rams vs. Seahawks Week 16 divisional battle.

• Teams: Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks
• Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. EST
• Location: Lumen Field
• Spread: Seahawks -1.5 (-105) | Rams +1.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Seahawks -125 | Rams +105
• Total: Over/Under 43 (-110/-110)

The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Expert Prediction: Rams vs. Seahawks

Using advanced data analysis and machine learning, experts have simulated this matchup 10,000 times.

• Model Win Probability: The Seahawks are favored to win at home, with a 55.6% chance of victory according to implied moneyline probabilities.
• Top Value Bet: Our top pick is the Seahawks -1.5 (-105). Analysts expect the windy and rainy conditions in Seattle to favor the home team over the Rams' indoor-based passing attack.
• Score Prediction: Experts project a tight 25-24 win for the Seahawks.

NFL Player Props: First Touchdown Predictions

Smith-Njigba is one of the top favorites to open the scoring in a game projected to be a defensive battle.

First Touchdown Scorer Probability

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA): +600 odds (14.29% probability)
• Kyren Williams (LAR): +600 odds (14.29% probability)
• Puka Nacua (LAR): +550 odds (15.38% probability)
• Kenneth Walker III (SEA): +850 odds (10.53% probability)
• Zach Charbonnet (SEA): +850 odds (10.53% probability)

Projected Box Score Leaders

• Passing Yards: Matthew Stafford (LAR), 242 yards; Sam Darnold (SEA), 237.6 yards
• Receiving Yards: Puka Nacua (LAR), 95 yards; Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA), 92 yards
• Rushing Yards: Kyren Williams (LAR), 61 yards; Kenneth Walker III (SEA), 50 yards

Rams vs. Seahawks Best Prop Bet

While the model highlights the Seahawks spread as the top play, the bet365 Jaxon Smith-Njigba First Touchdown Scorer (+600) is the standout prop for this game. Smith-Njigba's historic 35% target share and league-leading receiving production make him a constant threat to score early, especially against a Rams defense that has struggled to contain wide receivers throughout the season.

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Mac Douglass as part of our fact-checking process.