No. 1 Ohio State hits the road to face Purdue on Saturday afternoon in West Lafayette, where the Buckeyes look to stay undefeated and strengthen their College Football Playoff résumé.
Bet365 has released its latest touchdown odds for the game, featuring freshman standout Jeremiah Smith at +300 to score the first touchdown — a bet that’s gained traction thanks to his emerging role in Ohio State’s explosive passing offense.
Smith has found the end zone early and often this season, and Saturday’s matchup against Purdue presents another prime opportunity. The Buckeyes average over 41 points per game, with Smith frequently targeted on the team’s opening drives.
With quarterback Devin Brown expected to test Purdue’s secondary early, Smith’s combination of speed and route precision make him a strong candidate to put the first points on the board.
Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sportsbooks at the time of publication.
According to Dimers, which simulated this matchup 10,000 times, Ohio State has a 97% chance of winning. The Buckeyes’ offense has been one of the most efficient in the country, and they enter Saturday’s game as overwhelming favorites.
The model also projects a 56% chance that the total stays under 48.5, making a methodical early scoring drive from Ohio State even more likely — ideal conditions for a first touchdown prop like Smith’s.
Our best bet for Saturday’s Big Ten clash is Under 48.5 total points (-110), given Ohio State’s defensive strength and Purdue’s offensive struggles.
However, Bet365’s Jeremiah Smith First Touchdown Scorer (+300) prop provides additional value for bettors looking to capitalize on a strong first-quarter performance from Ohio State’s dynamic offense. Smith has recorded a touchdown in four of the last five games and has been targeted on 27% of first-quarter red-zone plays during that stretch.
Projected final score: Ohio State 40, Purdue 10.
Dimers’ data suggests a comfortable Buckeyes win, with the early advantage likely to come through the air — precisely where Smith thrives.
Saturday’s Big Ten showdown between Ohio State and Purdue kicks off at 1 p.m. EST at Ross-Ade Stadium. All predictions and best bets in this preview are derived from 10,000 Dimers.com simulations and are accurate as of publication, helping bettors make informed choices when placing wagers at online sportsbooks.
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