Indiana vs. Penn State: Bet365 Hemby First TD Odds at +500

Week 11 of the college football season continues Saturday with a Big Ten matchup between Indiana and Penn State at West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium.

Ahead of kickoff, Bet365 has released a special focus on the touchdown markets, with Roman Hemby sitting at +500 to score the first touchdown. The Penn State running back has been a reliable producer this season and represents one of the top first-score candidates on the board for Saturday’s noon kickoff.

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Bet365 Bet: Roman Hemby First Touchdown Scorer (+500)

Hemby has become a central figure in Penn State’s red-zone offense, with multiple first-quarter scores this season. Against an Indiana defense that has allowed over 150 rushing yards per game, the opening-drive script could favor a strong ground attack.

• Player: Roman Hemby (Penn State)
• Market: First Touchdown Scorer
• Odds: +500
• Payout Example: $10 wager returns $60 total

Bet365 also lists Hemby at -165 to score a touchdown anytime, but the +500 price for first TD offers a larger reward for bettors confident he’ll open the scoring.

Odds accurate at the time of publication and subject to change.

Game Details: Indiana vs. Penn State

• Teams: Indiana vs. Penn State
• Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
• Kickoff: 12 p.m. EST
• Location: West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium
• Spread: Indiana -14.5 (-110) | Penn State +14.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Indiana -650 | Penn State +560
• Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110)

The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sportsbooks at the time of publication.

Expert Prediction: Indiana vs. Penn State

The Dimers model, which simulates every matchup 10,000 times, projects that Indiana has an 85% chance of winning this game. Despite the Hoosiers’ strong overall rating, the model expects a closer-than-expected start, which could create early opportunities for Penn State to strike first through its running game.

Dimers also projects a 52% chance that the total stays under 48.5, consistent with the Big Ten’s typically defensive style of play.

Indiana vs. Penn State Best Bet

Dimers’ top pick for the matchup is Under 48.5 total points (-110), driven by both teams’ strong defensive tendencies and moderate offensive tempo.

For player props, the Roman Hemby First Touchdown Scorer (+500) at Bet365 stands out as a high-upside selection. The early game environment often favors established rushers, and Hemby fits that mold as Penn State’s go-to option inside the 10-yard line.

Score Prediction for Indiana vs. Penn State

Projected final score: Indiana 32, Penn State 17.

Dimers’ simulations predict an Indiana win but see Penn State’s offense getting on the board early—making Hemby’s first-touchdown odds especially appealing.

College Football Player Props: Saturday

Penn State

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

• Roman Hemby – 10.8% probability
• Tyler Warren – 7.3% probability
• KeAndre Lambert-Smith – 6.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

• Roman Hemby – 60.5% probability
• Tyler Warren – 42.1% probability
• KeAndre Lambert-Smith – 37.0% probability

Projected Box Score Leaders

• QB Passing Yards: Drew Allar – 228 yards
• Receiving Yards: KeAndre Lambert-Smith – 67 yards
• Rushing Yards: Roman Hemby – 86 yards

Indiana

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

• Jaylin Lucas – 12.1% probability
• Donaven McCulley – 8.5% probability
• Christian Turner – 5.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

• Jaylin Lucas – 52.0% probability
• Donaven McCulley – 41.2% probability
• Christian Turner – 30.8% probability

Projected Box Score Leaders

• QB Passing Yards: Brendan Sorsby – 236 yards
• Receiving Yards: Donaven McCulley – 74 yards
• Rushing Yards: Jaylin Lucas – 71 yards

College Football Week 11: Indiana vs. Penn State

Saturday’s Big Ten showdown between Indiana and Penn State kicks off at 12 p.m. EST at West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium. All of the college football predictions and best bets presented here are based on 10,000 Dimers simulations and are accurate as of publication to help bettors make informed decisions when placing wagers online.

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Ryan Leaver as part of our fact-checking process.