Thursday Night Football features an NFC South clash as the Atlanta Falcons visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. Despite the Falcons being underdogs,
on Falcons star running back, Bijan Robinson, to open the scoring.
Bijan Robinson is priced as the outright betting favorite to score the first touchdown of the game, leading all players in the market with an 18.18% implied probability. The
offer a significant high-payout opportunity for bettors.
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Bet365 Prop: Bijan Robinson First Touchdown Scorer (+450)
The prop targets the star running back to break the plane before any other player in the division matchup.
- The Player Prop:
Bijan Robinson First Touchdown Scorer
- Team:
Atlanta Falcons
- Odds:
+450
Market Note:
Robinson is the betting market favorite to score first, ahead of all Buccaneers and Falcons players.
Performance Note:
Robinson has scored seven touchdowns this season (five rushing, two receiving). He has 38 red-zone touches to Tyler Allgeier's 30.
Key information on the Falcons vs. Buccaneers matchup, including where the game is and what time it kicks off.
- Teams:
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
- Date:
Thursday, December 11, 2025
- Time:
8:15 PM ET
- Location:
Raymond James Stadium
- Spread:
Buccaneers favored at -5 (Later line: Buccaneers -5.5)
- Moneyline:
Falcons +225 | Buccaneers -265
- Total:
Over/Under 43.5 (Later line: 44.5)
The odds and lines presented in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Expert Prediction: Falcons Vs. Buccaneers
Dimers' predictive model simulates the outcome of the game 10,000 times to provide an unbiased view.
- Model Win Probability:
The Buccaneers are far more likely to defeat the Falcons, with a
71% chance of winning
the game.
- Spread Projection:
The Falcons and Buccaneers each have a
50% chance of covering
the spread.
- Predicted Final Score:
Buccaneers 24, Falcons 19.
NFL Player Props: Touchdown and Yardage Leaders
Bijan Robinson is the Falcons' primary scoring threat and is expected to handle a heavy workload.
Atlanta Falcons Player Projections
- First TD Scorer Favorite:
Bijan Robinson (+450)
- Anytime TD Scorer Favorite:
Bijan Robinson (-115)
- Rushing Yards Prop:
73.5 yards (Over -114)
- Rushing Attempts Prop:
16.5 carries (Over -112)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Scoring Projections
- First TD Scorer Top Choice:
Bucky Irving (+700)
- Anytime TD Scorer Top Choice:
Bucky Irving (+120)
- Mike Evans Anytime TD:
+170
Falcons Vs. Buccaneers Best Bet
The model's strongest play on the spread is on the Falcons (+5.5), but for a high-reward prop, the
is the top choice. Robinson is the statistical favorite to score first, and the game script is expected to involve heavy volume for the Falcons' star runner.
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