The 2026 NFL season opens with a
lopsided Week 1 matchup: the New Orleans Saints travel to Ford Field to face the Detroit Lions on Sunday, September 13. Kickoff is still weeks away, but the early markets are already posted, and the
First TD Scorer
market is where the biggest Week 1 payouts live.
Detroit's backfield remains one of the league's most productive scoring units, and the touchdown market has priced it accordingly. Jahmyr Gibbs opens as the shortest number on the board to find the end zone first — and
has posted an interesting First TD Scorer price around him.
Featured Prop: Jahmyr Gibbs First TD Scorer (+240)
on Jahmyr Gibbs to score the first touchdown of the game against the Saints.
- The board's clear favorite:
Bet365 prices Gibbs' Anytime TD at -260, a roughly 72.2% implied chance and comfortably the shortest anytime number in the game. The book is treating a Gibbs touchdown as close to an expectation rather than a live question.
- Predictive Value:
At +240, the First TD market implies roughly a 29.4% chance Gibbs opens the scoring. That is short by First TD standards, and it reflects genuine concentration of red-zone work rather than a speculative longshot — Detroit's scoring hierarchy runs through him.
- Game script:
A 6.5-point spread and a 49.5-point total point to a game Detroit expects to control at home. If the Lions get out in front early and lean on their backfield, the goal-line volume that makes this prop land arrives naturally.
Note:
Odds in this article are correct at time of publication and subject to change.
Player Props: Saints Vs. Lions
First & Anytime TD Scorer Odds (Bet365)
| Player |
First TD Odds |
Anytime TD Odds |
| Jahmyr Gibbs |
+240 |
-260 |
Saints Vs. Lions Betting Preview
Explore the interactive widget below to discover the latest spread, over/under, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Saints-Lions game at Ford Field.
Check out all the important details on the game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.
Game Details
The key information you need before the Saints vs. Lions NFL game.
- Teams:
vs.
- Date:
Sunday, September 13, 2026
- Kickoff:
1:00 p.m. EDT
- Location:
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
- NFL standings:
- NFL injuries:
Odds (Bet365)
Odds for the key markets in the Saints-Lions matchup.
- Spread:
Saints +6.5 (+100), Lions -6.5 (-120)
- Moneyline:
Saints +260, Lions -320
- Total:
Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110)
The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
| Sportsbook |
New-user offer |
| Bet365 |
(no bonus code required) |
Bet365 Bet Boosts
Bet365 has posted two boosted Same Game Parlays for the opener:
- Lethal Lions (+260, boosted from +240):
Lions Moneyline + Jared Goff 275+ Passing Yards + Jared Goff 2+ Passing TDs. A $10 stake returns $36.
- Saints Shine (+750, boosted from +625):
Saints Moneyline + Tyler Shough 250+ Passing Yards + Tyler Shough 2+ Passing TDs. A $10 stake returns $85.
Expert Prediction: Saints Vs. Lions
Utilizing state-of-the-art data analysis and advanced algorithms, the experts at
Dimers
have performed 10,000 simulations of the Saints vs. Lions matchup.
According to Dimers' predictive analytics model, the
Lions are more likely to win
at Ford Field. This prediction is based on the model giving the Lions a
76% chance
of winning the game, with a projected final score of
Lions 29, Saints 21.
The model also leans to the
Lions covering the 6.5-point spread, with the projected eight-point margin clearing the number. On the total, the model's projected 50-point combined score sits marginally above Bet365's posted 49.5.
These predictions and probabilities are accurate at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.
Saints Vs. Lions Best Bet
Our top pick for the Saints vs. Lions game is to bet on the
Lions -6.5 (-120)
at Bet365.
Dimers' model projects an eight-point Detroit win, which clears the number with a point and a half to spare, and laying -120 on the spread is materially cheaper than the -320 the moneyline demands for the same read on the game. This expert betting advice is based on world-class modeling and valuable betting intelligence, designed to help you make more informed decisions.
Final Thoughts: Saints Vs. Lions
Week 1 opens with one of the widest lines on the slate. Detroit hosts New Orleans as a 6.5-point favorite with the moneyline out to -320, and Bet365's 49.5-point total signals a book expecting the Lions offense to move the ball freely at Ford Field.
The headline angle is Jahmyr Gibbs in the touchdown market. At +240 to strike first, he is the shortest First TD price on the board — and if you'd rather back him without needing the opening score, Bet365's
-260
anytime price is the more conservative route to the same read on Detroit's red-zone hierarchy.
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