The 2026 NFL season opens with a
road test for the AFC's heavyweights: the Baltimore Ravens travel to Lucas Oil Stadium to face the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, September 13. Kickoff is still weeks away, but the early markets are already posted, and the
First TD Scorer
market is where the biggest Week 1 payouts live.
Baltimore's ground game is the engine that drives everything, and the touchdown market has priced it accordingly. Derrick Henry arrives in Indianapolis as the shortest number on the board to open the scoring — and
has posted an interesting First TD Scorer price around him.
Featured Prop: Derrick Henry First TD Scorer (+290)
on Derrick Henry to score the first touchdown of the game against the Colts.
- The board's clear favorite:
Bet365 prices Henry's Anytime TD at -185, a roughly 64.9% implied chance and comfortably the shortest anytime number in the game. The book is treating a Henry touchdown as closer to a formality than a coin flip.
- Predictive Value:
At +290, the First TD market implies roughly a 25.6% chance Henry opens the scoring. That is a short price by First TD standards, and it reflects a genuine concentration of goal-line work rather than a speculative longshot — Baltimore's red-zone hierarchy runs through one player.
- Game script:
A 48.5-point total and a 3.5-point spread point to a game Baltimore expects to control. If the Ravens are protecting a lead and leaning on the run, the volume of goal-line carries that make this prop land arrives naturally.
Note:
Odds in this article are correct at time of publication and subject to change.
Player Props: Ravens Vs. Colts
First & Anytime TD Scorer Odds (Bet365)
| Player |
First TD Odds |
Anytime TD Odds |
| Derrick Henry |
+290 |
-185 |
Ravens Vs. Colts Betting Preview
Explore the interactive widget below to discover the latest spread, over/under, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Ravens-Colts game at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Check out all the important details on the game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.
Game Details
The key information you need before the Ravens vs. Colts NFL game.
- Teams:
vs.
- Date:
Sunday, September 13, 2026
- Kickoff:
1:00 p.m. EDT
- Location:
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
- NFL standings:
- NFL injuries:
Odds (Bet365)
Odds for the key markets in the Ravens-Colts matchup.
- Spread:
Ravens -3.5 (-105), Colts +3.5 (-115)
- Moneyline:
Ravens -185, Colts +155
- Total:
Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110)
The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
| Sportsbook |
New-user offer |
| Bet365 |
(no bonus code required) |
Bet365 Bet Boosts
Bet365 has posted two boosted Same Game Parlays for the opener:
- Ravens Rampage (+1600, boosted from +1500):
Ravens Moneyline + Lamar Jackson 250+ Passing Yards + Zay Flowers to Score a TD + Derrick Henry to Score a TD. A $10 stake returns $170.
- Colts' Complete Control (+2000, boosted from +1800):
Colts Moneyline + Daniel Jones 250+ Passing Yards + Tyler Warren to Score a TD + Jonathan Taylor to Score a TD. A $10 stake returns $210.
Expert Prediction: Ravens Vs. Colts
Utilizing state-of-the-art data analysis and advanced algorithms, the experts at
Dimers
have performed 10,000 simulations of the Ravens vs. Colts matchup.
According to Dimers' predictive analytics model, the
Ravens are more likely to win
at Lucas Oil Stadium. This prediction is based on the model giving the Ravens a
63% chance
of winning the game, with a projected final score of
Ravens 27, Colts 23.
The model also leans to the
Ravens covering the 3.5-point spread, with the projected four-point margin landing just the right side of the number. On the total, the model's projected 50-point combined score sits above Bet365's posted 48.5.
These predictions and probabilities are accurate at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.
Ravens Vs. Colts Best Bet
Our top pick for the Ravens vs. Colts game is to bet on the
Ravens -3.5 (-105)
at Bet365.
Dimers' model projects a four-point Baltimore win, which clears the number by the narrowest possible margin — but the value sits in the price. At -105 for the spread against -185 on the moneyline, backing the Ravens to cover costs far less than backing them to simply win. This expert betting advice is based on world-class modeling and valuable betting intelligence, designed to help you make more informed decisions.
Final Thoughts: Ravens Vs. Colts
Week 1 sends Baltimore on the road as a field-goal favorite, with Bet365's 48.5-point total signalling a book that expects both offenses to move the ball at Lucas Oil Stadium. Dimers leans to the Ravens on both the moneyline and the spread, though a projected four-point margin leaves very little daylight against the number.
The headline angle is Derrick Henry in the touchdown market. At +290 to strike first, he is the shortest First TD price on the board — and if you'd rather back him without needing the opening score, Bet365's
-185
anytime price is the more conservative route to the same read on Baltimore's red-zone hierarchy.
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