Cowboys vs. Lions Prop: Back Jared Goff 300+ Passing Yards at +300 on Bet365

Thursday Night Football features an NFC showdown between the Dallas Cowboys and the Detroit Lions at Ford Field. In a matchup expected to be high-scoring, Bet365 is featuring a high-value player prop on Lions quarterback, Jared Goff, to hit the 300-yard mark.

While the Dimers model projects Goff for 252 yards, the +300 odds offer a significant high-payout opportunity for bettors expecting a strong aerial attack in a crucial primetime battle.

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Bet365 Prop: Jared Goff 300+ Passing Yards (+300)

The prop targets the Lions' quarterback to air it out in a game projected to have one of the highest totals of the week.

• The Player Prop: Jared Goff 300+ Passing Yards
• Team: Detroit Lions
• Odds: +300
• Performance Note: Goff has hit the 300-yard mark once in his last five games, averaging 278.8 yards over that span. Alternate markets elsewhere have priced this prop up to +400.

Game Details: Cowboys vs. Lions (Thursday Night Football)

Key information on the Cowboys vs. Lions matchup, including where the game is and what time it kicks off.

• Teams: Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions
• Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. EST
• Location: Ford Field
• Spread: Cowboys +3 (-108) | Lions -3 (-105)
• Moneyline: Cowboys +140 | Lions -154
• Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-108)

The odds and lines presented in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Expert Prediction: Cowboys vs. Lions

Leveraging advanced data analysis and computer power, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's matchup.

• Model Win Probability: The Lions are more likely to defeat the Cowboys, with a 60% chance of winning the game.
• Top Value Bet: Our top pick is to bet on Under 54.5 points (-108), which has a 53% chance of staying under.
• Spread Projection: The Cowboys and Lions each have a 50% chance of covering the spread.

Score Prediction for Cowboys vs. Lions

• Dimers’ predicted final score for the game is: Lions 28, Cowboys 25.

NFL Player Props: Passing and Rushing Leaders

The projected box score leaders are close to the threshold for Goff, but point to a heavy passing environment.

Detroit Lions Player Projections

• Projected QB Passing Yards: Jared Goff, 252 yards
• Receiving Yards Leader: Jameson Williams, 84 yards
• Rushing Yards Leader: Jahmyr Gibbs, 83 yards
• First TD Scorer Favorite: Jahmyr Gibbs, 12.7% probability
• Anytime TD Scorer Favorite: Jahmyr Gibbs, 64.8% probability

Dallas Cowboys Player Projections

• Projected QB Passing Yards: Dak Prescott, 274 yards
• Receiving Yards Leader: CeeDee Lamb, 86 yards
• Rushing Yards Leader: Javonte Williams, 72 yards
• First TD Scorer Favorite: Javonte Williams, 11.2% probability
• Anytime TD Scorer Favorite: Javonte Williams, 54.4% probability

Cowboys vs. Lions Best Bet

The model's strongest play on the standard market is the Under 54.5 points (-108). However, for a high-reward prop, the Bet365 Jared Goff 300+ Passing Yards (+300) offers excellent value. Given the 54.5-point total and Goff's recent performance averaging nearly 280 yards per game, the +300 odds are very tempting if the game becomes a shootout that pushes the passing volume higher than the model's conservative projection.

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Ryan Leaver as part of our fact-checking process.