Monday Night Football heads to Jacksonville, where the Jaguars host the Kansas City Chiefs in a high-stakes AFC clash. Trevor Lawrence and Patrick Mahomes headline the quarterback duel, with both offenses capable of lighting up the scoreboard at EverBank Stadium.
Bet365 Sportsbook has spotlighted a player prop for Trevor Lawrence to record 250+ passing yards, available at +215 odds. For bettors expecting Jacksonville to air it out against Kansas City, this market offers strong value on the home quarterback’s arm.
Lawrence has topped 250 passing yards in two of his last three home games, including a 271-yard outing earlier this season. Facing a Kansas City defense that has allowed over 240 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, this prop positions Lawrence as a strong over candidate in front of a national audience.
Odds accurate at the time of publication and subject to change.
Dimers’ predictive analytics model simulated tonight’s matchup 10,000 times and gives Kansas City a 62% chance to win. The 45.5-point total sits at an even 50-50 probability for over or under.
However, with Jacksonville expected to play from behind in several model scenarios, Lawrence’s passing volume should increase—boosting his chances of clearing 250 yards.
While the Dimers model shows value on Jaguars moneyline (+165), the Trevor Lawrence 250+ passing yards prop (+215) at Bet365 offers higher potential return. Against a Chiefs secondary that often invites short and intermediate completions, Lawrence should have ample opportunity to eclipse this mark.
After 10,000 simulations, Dimers projects: Chiefs 24, Jaguars 21
The model suggests a competitive game throughout, with Lawrence’s efficiency likely determining whether Jacksonville can pull off the upset.
For Monday Night Football bettors seeking player-based value, Trevor Lawrence 250+ passing yards at +215 on Bet365 stands out as one of the best ways to back Jacksonville’s offense. Expect Lawrence to be active early and often as the Jaguars look to challenge Kansas City through the air.
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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.

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