Christmas night features a
critical divisional showdown
as the Denver Broncos travel to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to face the Kansas City Chiefs.
on Broncos rookie wideout Troy Franklin to score a touchdown at any point at
Franklin has become a frequent deep threat for quarterback Bo Nix, averaging 14.2 yards per reception over his last three games. Facing a Kansas City team that has lost four straight games and is currently starting third-string quarterback Chris Oladokun, the Broncos are expected to maintain heavy offensive pressure throughout the night. With the model giving Franklin a 26.1% probability to find the end zone, his plus-money odds offer significant value for the holiday slate.
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Bet365 Prop: Troy Franklin Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220)
This prop targets the rookie receiver to record a touchdown at any point during the game.
- The Player Prop: Troy Franklin Anytime Touchdown Scorer
- Team: Denver Broncos
- Odds: +220
- Implied Probability: These odds suggest a 31.3% chance of occurring.
- Recent Production: Franklin has recorded 12 catches for 186 yards and a touchdown over the last four weeks.
- Matchup Edge: He leads the Broncos in targets of 20+ air yards (8) since Week 13.
Game Details: Broncos Vs. Chiefs (Christmas Day)
The key information for the Week 17 holiday clash at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
- Teams: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. EST
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- Spread: Broncos -13.5 (-110) | Chiefs +13.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Broncos -1000 | Chiefs +750
- Total: Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110)
The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Expert Prediction: Broncos Vs. Chiefs
Using state-of-the-art data analysis and machine learning, experts at Dimers have executed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's game.
- Model Win Probability: The Broncos are overwhelming favorites, with a
92% chance of victory.
- Top Value Bet: Our top pick for Christmas night is to bet on the
Broncos moneyline (-1000).
- Total Analysis: Dimers predicts that the
Under 38.5 points (-110)
has a 53% chance of hitting.
Score Prediction for Broncos Vs. Chiefs
NFL Player Props: Christmas Night
Franklin and veteran Courtland Sutton lead the receiving threats for Denver in touchdown scoring probabilities for this matchup.
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probability
- RJ Harvey (DEN): 51.7% probability (-110 odds)
- Courtland Sutton (DEN): 36.0% probability (+175 odds)
- Troy Franklin (DEN): 26.1% probability (+220 odds)
- Kareem Hunt (KC): 20.7% probability (+250 odds)
Projected Box Score Leaders
- Denver Broncos: Bo Nix (239 pass yds), Courtland Sutton (65 rec yds), RJ Harvey (55 rush yds)
- Kansas City Chiefs: Chris Oladokun (165 pass yds), Travis Kelce (40 rec yds), Isiah Pacheco (38 rush yds)
Broncos Vs. Chiefs Best Prop Bet
While the moneyline is the safest play, the
is a standout high-upside prop for Christmas. Franklin has established a strong rapport with fellow rookie Bo Nix, and his role as the vertical threat in this offense should provide him several opportunities against a Chiefs defense that has surrendered the sixth-most touchdowns to opposing wideouts over the last month.
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