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West Ham vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for West Ham vs. Aston Villa at the Premier League on August 17, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Aston Villa
2
1
Aug 17, 4:30PM London Stadium (London)
West Ham
Aug 17, 4:30PM London Stadium (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
West HamWHU
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
L. Paqueta (pen.) (37')
Soccer ball icon
A. Onana (4')
Soccer ball icon
J. Duran (79')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
WHU
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Philogene (Aston Villa) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for West Ham: D. Ings replaces G. Rodriguez
85'
Substitution
Substitution for West Ham: J. Todibo replaces V. Coufal
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: K. Nedeljkovic replaces M. Cash
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. Duran, assisted by J. Ramsey
2-1
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Maatsen replaces L. Digne
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Philogene replaces L. Bailey
73'
Substitution
Substitution for West Ham: N. Fullkrug replaces M. Antonio
73'
Substitution
Substitution for West Ham: C. Summerville replaces J. Bowen
73'
Substitution
Substitution for West Ham: J. Ward-Prowse replaces L. Paqueta
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces J. McGinn
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces O. Watkins
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for West Ham by L. Paqueta (pen.)
1-1
31'
Yellow Card
L. Paqueta (West Ham) cautioned
8'
Yellow Card
L. Bailey (Aston Villa) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by A. Onana, assisted by Y. Tielemans
1-0

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West Ham vs. Aston Villa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' West Ham vs. Aston Villa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: West Ham vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Saturday, August 17, 2024
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: London Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: West Ham +145, Aston Villa +188, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-157/+125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • West Ham: 37.4%
  • Aston Villa: 38.3%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is West Ham 1-1 Aston Villa, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

West Ham is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 37.4% probability, while Aston Villa sits at 38.3%, with the draw at 24.2%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' West Ham vs. Aston Villa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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