Sparks vs. Mercury Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sparks vs. Mercury WNBA game on June 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Sparks
111
102
Jun 13, 10:00 PM ET Mortgage Matchup Center
Mercury
Jun 13, 10:00 PM ET Mortgage Matchup Center
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update: June 13, 2026, 9:47 PM ET

Spread

Sparks +1.5
Spread
  • Sparks
    56.4%
    PolymarketPolymarket
  • Mercury
    43.6%
    PolymarketPolymarket
Projected Box Score
Sparks
Player PtsRebAst
K. Plum
N. Ogwumike
D. Hamby
A. Atkins
R. Burrell
Mercury
Player PtsRebAst
K. Copper
A. Thomas
D. Bonner
M. Akoa-Makani
N. Mack

Sparks vs. Mercury: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sparks vs. Mercury
  • Date: Saturday, June 13, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mercury favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 171.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Sparks -106, Mercury +110

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sparks: 57%
  • Mercury: 43%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this WNBA matchup is Sparks 85-83 Mercury.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sparks a win probability of 57%, while the Mercury have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sparks are more likely to beat the Mercury in the WNBA game at Mortgage Matchup Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sparks vs. Mercury predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert WNBA predictions and the best WNBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes WNBA props, WNBA futures, WNBA odds, and the latest WNBA news.