Sep 23, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Wednesday's picks highlight Dream vs. Liberty play [9/23/2026]
Read Article WNBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Breanna Stewart [9/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Wednesday's games.
Dimers' WNBA player props are live for September 23, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Arike Ogunbowale, Jessica Shepard and Breanna Stewart.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Dream vs. Liberty and Wings vs. Storm—and surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Wednesday, 9/23
Below are the top 10 WNBA player props for September 23, ranked by probability.
Arike Ogunbowale over 2.5 assists (-180)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 68.8%
- Projection: 3.7
- Game: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Wings' Arike Ogunbowale over 2.5 assists. A probability of 68.8% gives this play an edge of 4.5% at -180 odds.
Jessica Shepard over 4.5 assists (-138)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 62.7%
- Projection: 5.4
- Game: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
Jessica Shepard’s assists prop shows a 4.7% edge at -138 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 5.4 assists on the over 4.5 line.
Breanna Stewart under 8.5 rebounds (-122)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 61.2%
- Projection: 7.7
- Game: Dream vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Breanna Stewart under 8.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 61.2% probability and a 6.2% edge at -122.
Dominique Malonga under 0.5 3-pointers made (+111)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 53.9%
- Projection: 0.5
- Game: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Dominique Malonga to put up 0.5 3-pointers made today, creating an edge of 6.5% on the under 0.5 line at +111 odds.
Paige Bueckers under 20.5 points scored (+115)
- Edge: 6.4%
- Probability: 52.9%
- Projection: 18.2
- Game: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Paige Bueckers under 20.5 points scored for Wings, showing an edge of 6.4% at +115 odds.
Naz Hillmon under 3.5 rebounds (+110)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 52.2%
- Projection: 3.5
- Game: Dream vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
Naz Hillmon’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 4.6% at +110 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 3.5 today.
Paige Bueckers over 5.5 assists (+117)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 51.8%
- Projection: 6.1
- Game: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Paige Bueckers for 6.1 assists for Wings, creating an edge of 5.7% on over 5.5 at +117 odds.
Natisha Hiedeman over 4.5 assists (+156)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 45.6%
- Projection: 4.9
- Game: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Natisha Hiedeman for 4.9 assists, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +156 odds and a 6.6% edge.
Paige Bueckers to score first basket (+600)
- Edge: 0.7%
- Probability: 15.0%
- Game: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
A 0.7% edge on the To Score First Basket 4.5 to score first basket line makes Paige Bueckers a value play in Wings vs. Storm, supported by a 15.0% probability at +600 odds.
Flau'jae Johnson to score first basket (+750)
- Edge: 1.8%
- Probability: 13.6%
- Game: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Flau'jae Johnson to score first basket here, with a 13.6% probability and 1.8% edge at +750 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Wednesday, September 23, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:36AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings vs. Storm | Arike Ogunbowale o2.5 assists | -180 @ ESPN BET | 4.5% | 68.8% |
| Wings vs. Storm | Jessica Shepard o4.5 assists | -138 @ polymarket | 4.7% | 62.7% |
| Dream vs. Liberty | Breanna Stewart u8.5 rebounds | -122 @ DraftKings | 6.5% | 53.9% |
| Wings vs. Storm | Dominique Malonga u0.5 3-pointers made | +111 @ DraftKings | 6.5% | 53.9% |
| Wings vs. Storm | Paige Bueckers u20.5 points scored | +115 @ novig | 6.4% | 52.9% |
| Dream vs. Liberty | Naz Hillmon u3.5 rebounds | +110 @ FanDuel | 4.6% | 52.2% |
| Wings vs. Storm | Paige Bueckers o5.5 assists | +117 @ polymarket | 5.7% | 51.8% |
| Wings vs. Storm | Natisha Hiedeman o4.5 assists | +156 @ polymarket | 6.6% | 45.6% |
| Wings vs. Storm | Paige Bueckers to score first basket | +600 @ FanDuel | 0.7% | 15.0% |
| Wings vs. Storm | Flau'jae Johnson to score first basket | +750 @ FanDuel | 1.8% | 13.6% |
Conclusion
For September 23, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Arike Ogunbowale, Jessica Shepard and Breanna Stewart. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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