WNBA player props today: Monday's best props include Alyssa Thomas [9/21/2026]

Naz Hillmon under 8.5 points scored (-119)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Projection: 6.4
• Game: Dream vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Dream's Naz Hillmon under 8.5 points scored. A probability of 62.1% gives this play an edge of 7.7% at -119 odds.

Alyssa Thomas under 14.5 points scored (-110)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 59.6%
• Projection: 11.6
• Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Alyssa Thomas’s points scored prop shows a 7.2% edge at -110 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 11.6 points scored on the under 14.5 line.

Leonie Fiebich under 1.5 3-pointers made (-118)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 59.1%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Dream vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Leonie Fiebich under 1.5 3-pointers made, with simulations showing a 59.1% probability and a 5.0% edge at -118.

Alyssa Thomas under 7.5 rebounds (-104)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Projection: 6.9
• Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Alyssa Thomas to record 6.9 rebounds today, creating an edge of 6.9% on the under 7.5 line at -104 odds.

Kahleah Copper under 18.5 points scored (-102)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 57.0%
• Projection: 15.4
• Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Kahleah Copper under 18.5 points scored for Mercury, showing an edge of 6.5% at -102 odds.

Jessica Shepard under 9.5 rebounds (-102)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Projection: 9.3
• Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Jessica Shepard’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 4.4% at -102 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 9.3 today.

Naz Hillmon under 3.5 rebounds (+119)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Projection: 3.5
• Game: Dream vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Naz Hillmon for 3.5 rebounds for Dream, creating an edge of 5.6% on under 3.5 at +119 odds.

Kahleah Copper under 1.5 3-pointers made (+148)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 51.2%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Kahleah Copper for 1.4 3-pointers made, creating value on the under 1.5 line at +148 odds and a 10.9% edge.

Arike Ogunbowale over 2.5 rebounds (+150)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 47.9%
• Projection: 3.2
• Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

A 7.9% edge on the over 1.5 rebounds line makes Arike Ogunbowale a value play in Wings vs. Mercury, with our model projecting her for 3.2 rebounds at +150 odds.

Paige Bueckers to score first basket (+550)

• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 15.5%
• Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Paige Bueckers to score first basket here, with a 15.5% probability and 0.1% edge at +550 odds.

WNBA player prop summary: Monday, September 21, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:38AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 21, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Naz Hillmon, Alyssa Thomas and Leonie Fiebich. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.