Oct 2, 2026
Wings vs. Valkyries prediction sees Paige Bueckers projected to score 16 points in Game 3 [2026 WNBA Playoffs]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Playoffs today, Saturday, October 3, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 10/3.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Saturday, October 3, 2026—are live with the Liberty's Breanna Stewart projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Stewart, Jonquel Jones and Angel Reese lead Saturday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA Playoffs first basket predictions tonight (October 3, 2026)
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 14.2% probability
- Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 13.2% probability
- Angel Reese (Dream): 13.1% probability
- Allisha Gray (Dream): 11.4% probability
- Rhyne Howard (Dream): 10.5% probability
- Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 8.6% probability
- Rebecca Allen (Liberty): 8.0% probability
- Jordin Canada (Dream): 7.9% probability
- Naz Hillmon (Dream): 7.1% probability
- Leonie Fiebich (Liberty): 6.0% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (October 3, 2026)
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 0.8% edge at +650
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 10/3.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For the Playoffs action on Saturday, October 3, 2026, Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones and Angel Reese lead our first basket projections, with Stewart shaping as the strongest value play at +650. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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