WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 9/30.

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, September 30, 2026—are live with the Wings' Paige Bueckers projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Bueckers, Gabby Williams and Cecilia Zandalasini lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also spotlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (September 30, 2026)
- Paige Bueckers (Wings): 15.6% probability
- Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 15.5% probability
- Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries): 14.3% probability
- Angel Reese (Dream): 13.5% probability
- Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 13.5% probability
- Shakira Austin (Mystics): 11.5% probability
- Rhyne Howard (Dream): 11.2% probability
- Allisha Gray (Dream): 10.8% probability
- Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 9.8% probability
- Jessica Shepard (Wings): 9.7% probability
- Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 9.6% probability
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 9.5% probability
- Maddy Siegrist (Wings): 9.2% probability
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 8.4% probability
- Naz Hillmon (Dream): 7.5% probability
- Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 7.2% probability
- Jordin Canada (Dream): 7.1% probability
- Kayla Thornton (Valkyries): 6.6% probability
- Awak Kuier (Wings): 5.7% probability
- Kiah Stokes (Valkyries): 4.0% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (September 30, 2026)
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 3.1% edge at +1800
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 1.1% edge at +1100
- Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 1.0% edge at +700
- Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 0.5% edge at +1400
- Naz Hillmon (Dream): 0.5% edge at +1340
- Paige Bueckers (Wings): 0.2% edge at +550
- Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 0.1% edge at +550
- Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 0.1% edge at +950
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 9/30.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Wednesday, September 30, 2026, Paige Bueckers, Gabby Williams and Cecilia Zandalasini lead our first basket projections, while Georgia Amoore shapes as the strongest value play at +1800. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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