Sep 29, 2026
WNBA Playoffs player props today: Tuesday's best props include Jackie Young [9/29/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 9/29.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, September 29, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Kelsey Mitchell and Breanna Stewart lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also spotlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (September 29, 2026)
- A'ja Wilson (Aces): 19.0% probability
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 14.3% probability
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 14.0% probability
- Jackie Young (Aces): 13.8% probability
- Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 12.7% probability
- Caitlin Clark (Fever): 12.0% probability
- Natasha Howard (Lynx): 11.7% probability
- Olivia Miles (Lynx): 11.2% probability
- Aliyah Boston (Fever): 10.7% probability
- Napheesa Collier (Lynx): 10.6% probability
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 9.6% probability
- Courtney Williams (Lynx): 8.4% probability
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 8.3% probability
- Kayla McBride (Lynx): 8.2% probability
- Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 8.1% probability
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 7.6% probability
- Makayla Timpson (Fever): 7.0% probability
- Lexie Hull (Fever): 6.0% probability
- Leonie Fiebich (Liberty): 5.6% probability
- Brianna Turner (Aces): 1.3% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (September 29, 2026)
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 3.2% edge at +1480
- Jackie Young (Aces): 2.0% edge at +750
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 1.8% edge at +1600
- Courtney Williams (Lynx): 1.7% edge at +1400
- Lexie Hull (Fever): 0.9% edge at +1860
- Olivia Miles (Lynx): 0.5% edge at +840
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 0.1% edge at +620
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 0.0% edge at +600
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 9/29.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Tuesday, September 29, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Kelsey Mitchell and Breanna Stewart lead our first basket projections, while Pauline Astier shapes as the strongest value play at +1480. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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