WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, September 27, 2026

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 9/27.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today.
Our WNBA first basket predictions for September 27, 2026, are based on Sunday's latest data and matchups.

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, September 27, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.

Dimers’ first basket projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.

Wilson, Gabby Williams and Paige Bueckers lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.

WNBA first basket predictions tonight (September 27, 2026)

  • A'ja Wilson (Aces): 17.5% probability
  • Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 15.8% probability
  • Paige Bueckers (Wings): 15.1% probability
  • Jackie Young (Aces): 14.4% probability
  • Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 14.3% probability
  • Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries): 13.7% probability
  • Angel Reese (Dream): 13.4% probability
  • Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 13.2% probability
  • Caitlin Clark (Fever): 11.7% probability
  • Shakira Austin (Mystics): 11.6% probability
  • Rhyne Howard (Dream): 11.1% probability
  • Allisha Gray (Dream): 10.4% probability
  • Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 10.3% probability
  • Jessica Shepard (Wings): 10.2% probability
  • Aliyah Boston (Fever): 10.1% probability
  • Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 9.9% probability
  • Sonia Citron (Mystics): 9.4% probability
  • Maddy Siegrist (Wings): 8.9% probability
  • Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 8.3% probability
  • Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 8.3% probability
  • Makayla Timpson (Fever): 8.1% probability
  • Chelsea Gray (Aces): 8.0% probability
  • Jordin Canada (Dream): 7.8% probability
  • Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 7.6% probability
  • Naz Hillmon (Dream): 7.3% probability
  • Kayla Thornton (Valkyries): 6.1% probability
  • Lexie Hull (Fever): 5.8% probability
  • Awak Kuier (Wings): 5.6% probability
  • Kiah Stokes (Valkyries): 4.6% probability
  • Brianna Turner (Aces): 1.7% probability
Paige Bueckers of the Dallas Wings.
Paige Bueckers is one of the most likely WNBA players to score the first basket on Sunday, September 27, 2026.

WNBA first basket picks today (September 27, 2026)

  • Jackie Young (Aces): 3.3% edge at +800
  • Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 3.0% edge at +1800
  • Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 2.4% edge at +1600
  • Sonia Citron (Mystics): 1.7% edge at +1200
  • Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 1.2% edge at +1000
  • Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 0.9% edge at +1400
  • Lexie Hull (Fever): 0.8% edge at +1900
  • Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 0.7% edge at +700
  • Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 0.4% edge at +550
  • Jordin Canada (Dream): 0.3% edge at +1240
  • Maddy Siegrist (Wings): 0.1% edge at +1040
  • Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 0.0% edge at +600

Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.

For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 9/27.

 

Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket

For Sunday, September 27, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Gabby Williams and Paige Bueckers lead our first basket projections, while Jackie Young shapes as the strongest value play at +800. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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