Sep 21, 2026
WNBA player props today: Monday's best props include Angel Reese [9/21/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, September 21, 2026
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 9/21.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, September 21, 2026—are live with the Wings' Paige Bueckers projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Bueckers, Kahleah Copper and Angel Reese lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also spotlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (September 21, 2026)
- Paige Bueckers (Wings): 15.5% probability
- Kahleah Copper (Mercury): 14.2% probability
- Angel Reese (Dream): 12.8% probability
- Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 12.7% probability
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 12.4% probability
- Allisha Gray (Dream): 11.5% probability
- Rhyne Howard (Dream): 11.4% probability
- Natasha Mack (Mercury): 11.2% probability
- Jessica Shepard (Wings): 11.1% probability
- Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 10.5% probability
- Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 9.8% probability
- Alyssa Thomas (Mercury): 9.7% probability
- Noemie Brochant (Mercury): 8.9% probability
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 8.2% probability
- Jordin Canada (Dream): 7.8% probability
- Leonie Fiebich (Liberty): 6.9% probability
- Naz Hillmon (Dream): 6.6% probability
- Awak Kuier (Wings): 6.4% probability
- Odyssey Sims (Wings): 6.4% probability
- Sami Whitcomb (Mercury): 6.0% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (September 21, 2026)
- Noemie Brochant (Mercury): 1.9% edge at +1340
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 1.1% edge at +1300
- Kahleah Copper (Mercury): 0.9% edge at +650
- Paige Bueckers (Wings): 0.1% edge at +550
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 9/21.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Monday, September 21, 2026, Paige Bueckers, Kahleah Copper and Angel Reese lead our first basket projections, while Noemie Brochant shapes as the strongest value play at +1340. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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