WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, September 20, 2026
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 9/20.

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, September 20, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Jackie Young and Kelsey Mitchell lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (September 20, 2026)
- A'ja Wilson (Aces): 17.4% probability
- Jackie Young (Aces): 16.1% probability
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 15.0% probability
- Dominique Malonga (Storm): 14.9% probability
- Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks): 14.5% probability
- Aaliyah Edwards (Sun): 14.1% probability
- Shakira Austin (Mystics): 14.0% probability
- Kiki Rice (Tempo): 13.3% probability
- Brittney Griner (Sun): 12.9% probability
- Rae Burrell (Sparks): 12.8% probability
- Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 12.7% probability
- Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 12.7% probability
- Flau'jae Johnson (Storm): 12.6% probability
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 12.4% probability
- Emily Engstler (Fire): 12.2% probability
- Carla Leite (Fire): 12.0% probability
- Megan DiLeo (Fire): 11.9% probability
- Caitlin Clark (Fever): 11.9% probability
- Olivia Miles (Lynx): 11.6% probability
- Laura Juskaite (Tempo): 11.2% probability
- Isabelle Harrison (Tempo): 11.2% probability
- Dearica Hamby (Sparks): 10.9% probability
- Napheesa Collier (Lynx): 10.5% probability
- Aliyah Boston (Fever): 10.4% probability
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 10.2% probability
- Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 9.8% probability
- Kayla McBride (Lynx): 9.5% probability
- Natasha Howard (Lynx): 9.5% probability
- Bridget Carleton (Fire): 9.2% probability
- Temi Fagbenle (Tempo): 9.0% probability
- Courtney Williams (Lynx): 9.0% probability
- Jade Melbourne (Storm): 8.5% probability
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 8.2% probability
- Diamond Miller (Sun): 7.9% probability
- Leila Lacan (Sun): 7.8% probability
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 7.7% probability
- Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 7.5% probability
- Makayla Timpson (Fever): 7.4% probability
- Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 7.3% probability
- Jordan Horston (Storm): 7.0% probability
- Awa Fam (Storm): 7.0% probability
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 6.9% probability
- Leonie Fiebich (Liberty): 6.9% probability
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 6.3% probability
- Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 6.1% probability
- Lexie Hull (Fever): 5.3% probability
- Julie Allemand (Tempo): 5.3% probability
- Nyadiew Puoch (Fire): 4.7% probability
- Ariel Atkins (Sparks): 4.3% probability
- Brianna Turner (Aces): 2.5% probability

WNBA first basket picks today (September 20, 2026)
- Kiki Rice (Tempo): 4.2% edge at +1000
- Emily Engstler (Fire): 2.2% edge at +900
- Flau'jae Johnson (Storm): 2.0% edge at +850
- Jade Melbourne (Storm): 1.4% edge at +1300
- Courtney Williams (Lynx): 1.3% edge at +1200
- Laura Juskaite (Tempo): 1.2% edge at +900
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 1.1% edge at +1000
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 1.1% edge at +1600
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 0.8% edge at +600
- Jackie Young (Aces): 0.8% edge at +550
- Olivia Miles (Lynx): 0.5% edge at +800
- Kayla McBride (Lynx): 0.4% edge at +1000
- Rae Burrell (Sparks): 0.3% edge at +700
- Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 0.2% edge at +700
- Lexie Hull (Fever): 0.1% edge at +1840
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 9/20.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Sunday, September 20, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Kelsey Mitchell lead our first basket projections, while Kiki Rice shapes as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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