WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, September 17, 2026

WNBA first basket predictions tonight (September 17, 2026)

• A'ja Wilson (Aces): 17.0% probability
• Shakira Austin (Mystics): 15.8% probability
• Emily Engstler (Fire): 15.7% probability
• Jackie Young (Aces): 15.6% probability
• Paige Bueckers (Wings): 15.3% probability
• Dominique Malonga (Storm): 14.9% probability
• Kahleah Copper (Mercury): 14.8% probability
• Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks): 14.1% probability
• Brittney Griner (Sun): 13.9% probability
• Sydney Taylor (Sky): 13.6% probability
• Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 13.6% probability
• Rae Burrell (Sparks): 12.6% probability
• Allisha Gray (Dream): 12.6% probability
• Jessica Shepard (Wings): 12.3% probability
• Rhyne Howard (Dream): 12.0% probability
• Flau'jae Johnson (Storm): 11.6% probability
• Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun): 11.3% probability
• Jordan Harrison (Fire): 11.3% probability
• Kamilla Cardoso (Sky): 10.8% probability
• Natasha Mack (Mercury): 10.8% probability
• Dearica Hamby (Sparks): 10.7% probability
• Angel Reese (Dream): 10.5% probability
• Natasha Cloud (Sky): 10.5% probability
• Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 10.4% probability
• Alyssa Thomas (Mercury): 9.2% probability
• Noemie Brochant (Mercury): 8.9% probability
• Chelsea Gray (Aces): 8.8% probability
• Natisha Hiedeman (Storm): 8.5% probability
• Diamond Miller (Sun): 8.5% probability
• Serah Williams (Fire): 8.5% probability
• Leila Lacan (Sun): 8.4% probability
• Azura Stevens (Sky): 8.2% probability
• Jade Melbourne (Storm): 8.1% probability
• Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 7.9% probability
• Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 7.9% probability
• Jordin Canada (Dream): 7.7% probability
• Nyadiew Puoch (Fire): 7.5% probability
• Naz Hillmon (Dream): 7.3% probability
• Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 7.0% probability
• Awak Kuier (Wings): 7.0% probability
• Karlie Samuelson (Fire): 6.9% probability
• Awa Fam (Storm): 6.9% probability
• Betnijah Laney (Mystics): 6.9% probability
• Courtney Vandersloot (Sky): 6.9% probability
• Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 6.8% probability
• Sami Whitcomb (Mercury): 6.3% probability
• Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 6.1% probability
• Odyssey Sims (Wings): 5.1% probability
• Ariel Atkins (Sparks): 4.6% probability
• Brianna Turner (Aces): 2.6% probability

WNBA first basket picks today (September 17, 2026)

• Emily Engstler (Fire): 6.8% edge at +1020
• Sydney Taylor (Sky): 5.2% edge at +1100
• Rae Burrell (Sparks): 4.9% edge at +1200
• Jackie Young (Aces): 3.1% edge at +700
• Natasha Cloud (Sky): 2.2% edge at +1100
• Chelsea Gray (Aces): 1.6% edge at +1300
• Noemie Brochant (Mercury): 1.4% edge at +1240
• Flau'jae Johnson (Storm): 1.3% edge at +870
• Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 1.3% edge at +1000
• Nyadiew Puoch (Fire): 1.3% edge at +1500
• Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 1.2% edge at +1380
• Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 1.1% edge at +700
• Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 0.9% edge at +1600
• Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks): 0.8% edge at +650
• Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 0.8% edge at +1300
• Allisha Gray (Dream): 0.1% edge at +700

Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.

For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 9/17.

Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket

For Thursday, September 17, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Shakira Austin and Emily Engstler lead our first basket projections, with Engstler shaping as the strongest value play at +1020. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.

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