WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, August 14, 2026

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, August 14, 2026—are live with the Storm's Dominique Malonga projected as the most likely player to score first.

These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.

Malonga, Kelsey Mitchell and Megan Gustafson lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities powered by our upgraded WNBA player props model.

WNBA first basket predictions tonight (August 14, 2026)

• Dominique Malonga (Storm): 18.0% probability
• Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 16.4% probability
• Megan Gustafson (Fire): 13.4% probability
• Paige Bueckers (Wings): 12.9% probability
• Aliyah Boston (Fever): 12.4% probability
• Bridget Carleton (Fire): 11.7% probability
• Caitlin Clark (Fever): 11.6% probability
• Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 11.1% probability
• Carla Leite (Fire): 10.6% probability
• Awak Kuier (Wings): 10.6% probability
• Alanna Smith (Wings): 9.3% probability
• Natisha Hiedeman (Storm): 8.9% probability
• Jade Melbourne (Storm): 8.7% probability
• Emily Engstler (Fire): 8.4% probability
• Ezi Magbegor (Storm): 7.6% probability
• Jordan Horston (Storm): 6.8% probability
• Odyssey Sims (Wings): 6.1% probability
• Nyadiew Puoch (Fire): 5.8% probability
• Makayla Timpson (Fever): 5.7% probability
• Lexie Hull (Fever): 3.9% probability

WNBA first basket picks today (August 14, 2026)

• Bridget Carleton (Fire): 2.2% edge at +950
• Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 2.1% edge at +600
• Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 2.0% edge at +1000
• Alanna Smith (Wings): 1.6% edge at +1200
• Awak Kuier (Wings): 1.5% edge at +1000
• Megan Gustafson (Fire): 0.9% edge at +700
• Emily Engstler (Fire): 0.7% edge at +1200
• Jade Melbourne (Storm): 0.4% edge at +1100

Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.

For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 8/14.

Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket

For Friday, August 14, 2026, Dominique Malonga, Kelsey Mitchell and Megan Gustafson lead our first basket projections, while Bridget Carleton shapes as the strongest value play at +950. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.

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