WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, August 13, 2026

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Thursday, August 13, 2026—are live with the Mystics' Shakira Austin projected as the most likely player to score first.

Dimers’ first basket projections derive insights from detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.

Austin, A'ja Wilson and Brittney Griner lead Thursday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities powered by our upgraded WNBA player props model.

WNBA first basket predictions tonight (August 13, 2026)

• Shakira Austin (Mystics): 15.4% probability
• A'ja Wilson (Aces): 14.9% probability
• Brittney Griner (Sun): 14.6% probability
• Allisha Gray (Dream): 13.6% probability
• Dearica Hamby (Sparks): 13.3% probability
• Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 12.9% probability
• Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 12.8% probability
• Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks): 12.6% probability
• Jackie Young (Aces): 12.3% probability
• Angel Reese (Dream): 12.0% probability
• Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun): 11.5% probability
• Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 11.2% probability
• Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 10.8% probability
• Sonia Citron (Mystics): 10.7% probability
• NaLyssa Smith (Aces): 10.4% probability
• Leila Lacan (Sun): 9.9% probability
• Rae Burrell (Sparks): 9.7% probability
• Diamond Miller (Sun): 9.6% probability
• Rhyne Howard (Dream): 9.0% probability
• Naz Hillmon (Dream): 8.9% probability
• Pauline Astier (Liberty): 8.5% probability
• Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 8.2% probability
• Chelsea Gray (Aces): 7.1% probability
• Rebecca Allen (Liberty): 6.7% probability
• Jordin Canada (Dream): 6.5% probability
• Ariel Atkins (Sparks): 6.2% probability
• Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 5.5% probability
• Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 5.5% probability
• Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 5.3% probability
• Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 4.5% probability

WNBA first basket picks today (August 13, 2026)

• Naz Hillmon (Dream): 3.1% edge at +1600
• Sonia Citron (Mystics): 3.0% edge at +1200
• Rae Burrell (Sparks): 2.5% edge at +1300
• Angel Reese (Dream): 2.5% edge at +950
• Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 2.3% edge at +850
• Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 2.3% edge at +1600
• Dearica Hamby (Sparks): 1.8% edge at +770
• Allisha Gray (Dream): 1.8% edge at +750
• Jackie Young (Aces): 1.5% edge at +825
• Diamond Miller (Sun): 1.2% edge at +1100
• Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks): 0.9% edge at +750
• Chelsea Gray (Aces): 0.4% edge at +1400
• Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 0.4% edge at +1860

Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.

For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 8/13.

Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket

For Thursday, August 13, 2026, Shakira Austin, A'ja Wilson and Brittney Griner lead our first basket projections, while Naz Hillmon shapes as the strongest value play at +1600. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.

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