WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 8/11.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, August 11, 2026—are live with the Mercury's Kahleah Copper projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Copper, Kelsey Mitchell and A'ja Wilson lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities powered by our upgraded WNBA player props model.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (August 11, 2026)
- Kahleah Copper (Mercury): 15.5% probability
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 15.2% probability
- A'ja Wilson (Aces): 15.0% probability
- Shakira Austin (Mystics): 14.9% probability
- Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks): 13.0% probability
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 12.8% probability
- Dearica Hamby (Sparks): 12.4% probability
- Aliyah Boston (Fever): 12.3% probability
- Alyssa Thomas (Mercury): 12.0% probability
- Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 11.8% probability
- Jackie Young (Aces): 11.8% probability
- NaLyssa Smith (Aces): 11.2% probability
- Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 11.2% probability
- Caitlin Clark (Fever): 11.1% probability
- DeWanna Bonner (Mercury): 10.7% probability
- Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 10.6% probability
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 9.6% probability
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 9.4% probability
- Rae Burrell (Sparks): 9.3% probability
- Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 8.9% probability
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 7.4% probability
- Cotie McMahon (Mystics): 7.2% probability
- Noemie Brochant (Mercury): 6.9% probability
- Monique Billings (Fever): 6.8% probability
- Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 6.6% probability
- Ariel Atkins (Sparks): 6.5% probability
- Rebecca Allen (Liberty): 6.1% probability
- Valeriane Ayayi (Mercury): 4.9% probability
- Jewell Loyd (Aces): 4.7% probability
- Sophie Cunningham (Fever): 4.6% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (August 11, 2026)
- Jackie Young (Aces): 2.4% edge at +960
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 1.8% edge at +650
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 1.7% edge at +1200
- Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 1.5% edge at +1260
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 1.2% edge at +1100
- NaLyssa Smith (Aces): 0.5% edge at +840
- DeWanna Bonner (Mercury): 0.3% edge at +860
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 0.2% edge at +1300
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 8/11.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Tuesday, August 11, 2026, Kahleah Copper, Kelsey Mitchell and A'ja Wilson lead our first basket projections, while Jackie Young shapes as the strongest value play at +960. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
