WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, August 8, 2026
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 8/8.

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Saturday, August 8, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Dominique Malonga and Kelsey Mitchell lead Saturday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also identify tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities powered by our upgraded WNBA player props model.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (August 8, 2026)
- A'ja Wilson (Aces): 15.7% probability
- Dominique Malonga (Storm): 15.6% probability
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 15.1% probability
- Kamilla Cardoso (Sky): 13.7% probability
- Aliyah Boston (Fever): 12.5% probability
- Megan Gustafson (Fire): 12.5% probability
- Napheesa Collier (Lynx): 12.1% probability
- Olivia Miles (Lynx): 12.0% probability
- Jackie Young (Aces): 11.5% probability
- Azura Stevens (Sky): 11.4% probability
- Caitlin Clark (Fever): 11.3% probability
- NaLyssa Smith (Aces): 11.1% probability
- Natisha Hiedeman (Storm): 10.8% probability
- Flau'jae Johnson (Storm): 10.7% probability
- Carla Leite (Fire): 10.3% probability
- Kayla McBride (Lynx): 10.1% probability
- Bridget Carleton (Fire): 10.1% probability
- Courtney Vandersloot (Sky): 9.7% probability
- Frieda Buhner (Fire): 8.9% probability
- Courtney Williams (Lynx): 8.4% probability
- Emily Engstler (Fire): 8.3% probability
- Natasha Cloud (Sky): 8.2% probability
- Natasha Howard (Lynx): 7.4% probability
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 7.0% probability
- Jacy Sheldon (Sky): 7.0% probability
- Jade Melbourne (Storm): 6.6% probability
- Monique Billings (Fever): 6.5% probability
- Awa Fam (Storm): 6.3% probability
- Jewell Loyd (Aces): 4.7% probability
- Sophie Cunningham (Fever): 4.6% probability

WNBA first basket picks today (August 8, 2026)
- Kayla McBride (Lynx): 3.0% edge at +1300
- NaLyssa Smith (Aces): 2.0% edge at +1000
- Courtney Vandersloot (Sky): 1.6% edge at +1140
- Bridget Carleton (Fire): 1.0% edge at +1000
- Natisha Hiedeman (Storm): 0.8% edge at +900
- Courtney Williams (Lynx): 0.8% edge at +1200
- Jacy Sheldon (Sky): 0.6% edge at +1460
- Monique Billings (Fever): 0.4% edge at +1540
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 8/8.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Saturday, August 8, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Dominique Malonga and Kelsey Mitchell lead our first basket projections, while Kayla McBride shapes as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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