WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, August 2, 2026
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 8/2.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, August 2, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, Brittney Griner and Kelsey Mitchell lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (August 2, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 15.5% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 15.2% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 14.5% |
| Isabelle Harrison (Tempo) | 14.3% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 13.4% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 13.2% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 13.2% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 13.0% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 12.5% |
| Napheesa Collier (Lynx) | 12.2% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 11.8% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 11.6% |
| Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries) | 11.6% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 11.5% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun) | 11.4% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 11.3% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 11.1% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 10.9% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.4% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 10.3% |
| Laura Juskaite (Tempo) | 10.1% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 10.0% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 10.0% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 9.9% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 8.7% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 8.1% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 7.9% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 7.8% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 7.8% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 7.7% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.6% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 7.3% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 7.2% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 6.9% |
| Nyadiew Puoch (Fire) | 6.6% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 5.8% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 5.6% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 5.5% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 5.3% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 5.3% |
WNBA first basket picks today (August 2, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | Lynx | 4.4% | +1400 | 11.1% |
| Isabelle Harrison | Tempo | 3.5% | +825 | 14.3% |
| Arike Ogunbowale | Wings | 3.3% | +1200 | 10.9% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 2.2% | +650 | 15.5% |
| Veronica Burton | Valkyries | 1.5% | +1020 | 10.4% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 0.9% | +1000 | 10.0% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 0.7% | +1300 | 7.8% |
| Awak Kuier | Wings | 0.7% | +1300 | 7.8% |
| Carla Leite | Fire | 0.6% | +800 | 11.8% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 0.5% | +1300 | 7.6% |
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 0.5% | +700 | 13.0% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 8/2.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Sunday, August 2, 2026, Gabby Williams, Brittney Griner and Kelsey Mitchell lead our first basket projections, while Kayla McBride shapes as the strongest value play at +1400. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
